Just thought id share my tactics for this years upcoming draft. Wanting to know if anyone else is going down this line and what they think/doing differently.
Without going into a sob-story about previous years drafts, and how good/bad ive done lets get into my tactic
So far this year, ive spent $70k on scouting, and ill probably spend another $10k before the draft. So $80k all up, all year.
This has given me 16 points to work with. Why bother i hear you say.
In order to maximise my points, I did the Group Demonstration. this gave me 3 players with 5-ball star rating and and 5 players with a 4-ball star rating. So all up, out of 19 players, 8 are probably decent enough to investigate further.
I decided at that point, to continue with my current scouting spending and just Interview the Top 3 players. This wil give me height-boxscore and of course, grade and potential.
My theory is, as ive read in other forums, is that high rating is highly related to high potential. Not always, but there is more chance of a 5-ball star player having a 5-ball potential. (so ive seen and read. Not always the case, but generally.).
I wont give details just yet of the two guys ive interviewed already. But one flaw ive noticed, is the age. I dont know the age until I interview, which, if my top-3 guys turn out to be 19 years old, my tactic is pretty much down the tube.
I look at it this way though. Say i draft, 3 players, who are 5 or 4 ball star rating. regardless of age, ill probably fetch $50k in total, for all 3, as a minimum, on the transfer market, after the draft. So worst case scenario is that i lose $30k over the year.
Or thereabouts. Thats my 'theory'... The rest of the theory is that i draft someone better, and make a tidy profit. :)
I might get stuffed over by the draft order, and not get my number 1 pikc. Or my number 10 pick. Then im also in trouble. Im hedging my bets, but i thought id try it this year.
Will give an update once draft is done.
Anyone else trying to do a low-cost draft this year?