Bringing this up because it's impacting our nation very negatively, and I'd be interested to hear the thoughts of people of similarly-sized countries on the issue - and any GM/BB who'd like to chime in (hoping for that).
Within Japan, we have the top league (JBBL), and 4 div IIs. Two of the IIs (.3/.4) are pretty much completely bot. Div II.2 has 5 active teams. Up until recently, II.1 was around 14 or so. For reference, the JBBL usually has anywhere from 12-16 'active' teams.
The issue stems from that we've ended up with a very, very competitive II.1, to the point of where the last three promotees from II.1 are now ranked 1, 7 and 8 in Nippon. Currently in II.1 we have the 11th, 13th, 14th, 15th, 18th, 21st ranked teams in the nation. For reference, the top Div II.2 teams rank 17th, 24th.
The Great 8 is particularly stacked, with the 11th, 13th, 14th, and 21st teams all being there.
I understand that the majority of 'new' teams are going to fill spots in II.1. But this has resulted in a logjam of teams in the division, and has meant that we've had a very high turnover rate of players who do end up in the division. I think the average time a new player who ends up in II.1 is about a month (?), and given "most new players start in II.1" as a nation we're finding it hard to grow/keep new people.
Stronger teams in Div II.1 continually watch weaker teams from II.2 (and in the past II.3) promote.
I used to BBmail every new guy that joined, keeping track in both II.1 and 2... but I've stopped because it just seems so fruitless.
Now, we've just lost the #4 team in Div II.1's Big 8. The #3 team has been inactive for coming up on 3 weeks, and the #4 and 5 teams in the Great 8 are in the same boat. The #4 team is nationally ranked 21, and the #5 team is the most promising "new guy" we've had in 4-5 seasons.
Teams that are inferior are getting promoted, whilst there's a 5+ season waiting line for the guys who are in the process of leaving. Frustrating... and generally I've only looked at it from the perspective of those near the top of the Div., but it must be awful for those who are sticking with the game - but even lower in the pecking order.
So not only are we finding it difficult to keep new players, we're losing the older, established ones too.
A JBBL user recently had an interesting solution to promotion issues:
I think they should just change the bot promotion to be based on National rank rather than record & PD. If the ranking formula were done right (maybe as is) it should pick the team that has the best overall performance rather than just who gets the easiest schedule. If they do this then the best teams would move to D1 faster and the D1/higher divisions would be stronger.
Additionally, I'm not sure that putting all the new teams in the one division is the wisest course of action. Sure, I've been told it's so that there's a competitive division, but all that's ended up happening is there are 3-5 teams who are truly competing, another mid-tier who get beat up on by the top guys, but beat up on the lowest tier... and a group at the bottom made up of new teams who only stay active about a month.
I think having a greater mix throughout the lower divisions would encourage more movement up and down, and mean that newer teams have a greater chance for success, and therefore are encouraged to stay.
That's my piece, said it. Please, if you have anything to share on this, do so!
Thanks...
http://with-malice.com/ - The half-crazed ramblings of a Lakers fanatic in Japan