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S24 Power Rankings

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This Post:
44
244300.1
Date: 6/17/2013 11:00:36 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
274274
Hello all and welcome new teams. Sorry I didn't get these out last week as I said I would.

For those of you who are new, every week (or so) I put together a Power Ranking based on a formula that includes in game ratings, effort, record, and point differential. Feel free to to look back at old Power Ranking threads to see how it works, or to find the exact formula used.

For now, after one game, the formula is kind of all over the place and inconsistent.. so I'll wait until Wednesday to get the full rankings out. For now, the rankings below are based ONLY on the average team ratings for your first game. Records and everything else are excluded. Big 8 teams are bolded, and Great 8 teams are italicized. While we're obviously still early on, the Big 8 would appear to be the tougher conference. Again.

TEAM RATING RANKINGS
1. Fern Creek, 7.110
2. Cow Lickers, 6.832
3. Demon Hoosiers, 6.722
4. Mt. Zion Rebels, 6.612
5. Thunderhorse, 6.610
6. Blazing Ninjas, 6.555
7. CA Foreigners, 6.387
8. Eclpze, 6.280
9. Chicken Hawks, 6.277
10. Lumberjacks, 6.168
11. Natellio, 6.167
12. East Gary Eagles, 6.113
13. lakey, 6.000
14. The Door Mats, 5.777
15. Vulgar Array of Flower, 5.720
16. Red Beavers, 5.333

Just for everyone's information, here are the top two teams in each rating section:

Outside Scoring: East Gary Eagles (7.67), Demon Hoosiers (7.67)
Inside Scoring: Fern Creek (9.67), Natellio, Chicken Hawks, CA Foreigners, Cow Lickers all (8.33)
Perimeter Defense: Lumberjacks (8.00), Cow Lickers (8.00
Inside Defense: Fern Creek (8.33), Demon Hoosiers (8.00)
Rebounding: Eclypze (6.67), Cow Lickers, Fern Creek, Thunderhorse, CA Foreigners all (6.33)
Offensive Flow: Thunderhorse (7.00), Lumberjacks (7.00)

This Post:
11
244300.2 in reply to 244300.1
Date: 6/18/2013 7:06:27 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
9898
Thanks for doing this again, we might have to keep you around. Hopefully my final rank will continue to be above my power ranking.

Have you considered tweaking your formula with new seasons? Starting 5 salary (or perhaps extending it to 7 by adding a big and a small sub) would probably be fairly predictive. That'd also account for pregame injuries.

Any other metrics people have found useful?

edit: I just read the actual formula on the Season 20 power rankings thread, and you've already got that covered.

Last edited by Demon Hoosier at 6/18/2013 7:08:31 PM

This Post:
00
244300.3 in reply to 244300.2
Date: 6/19/2013 9:26:38 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
274274
Hm. I like the idea of including a salary weight into this formula... Maybe that's because I'm paying some neanderthal $143k every week, though. I'll see what I can do here. Coming soon...

This Post:
33
244300.4 in reply to 244300.3
Date: 6/19/2013 9:50:02 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
274274
I'll be trying to implement a salary addition to this formula, but expect that next week or some other time in the future. I'll probably use the top 8 salary info, as that figure is readily available to me on buzzer-manager. Otherwise I'll have to go one by one through all of your ugly rosters and calculate it myself.

For now, expect to see your team jumping all over the place in the rankings. The numbers are still a little volatile. Expect them to calm down after a few weeks.

Good comeback made from the Great 8 this week in the rankings. The two conferences don't seem nearly as different anymore.

POWER RANKINGS
1. Demon Hoosiers, 18.607. Great start from my fellow Indiana native. He's got the highest average ratings right now, and it shows. Certainly an early favorite.
2. Cow Lickers, 12.832. Surprising start from these guys. Made it through a relegation series last season and now thriving on the new promotees. High ratings from him make me think this is no fluke.
3. Eclypze, 5.082 . This just in: Eugene Smith is difficult to guard. I'm sick of you being my rival by the way.
4. CA Foreigners, 4.073. Last season's runner-up looks to be right in the mix again. Tough loss to the Door Mats, but those two always seem to be going back and forth.
5. Thunderhorse, 3.873. Always hovering around the 5-7 spot, Thunderhorse trying to break through. Consistent ratings as always.
6. The Door Mats, 2.848. Still performing well with a low salary team. Hasn't gotten him over the hump yet, though.
7. Chicken Hawks, 1.898. Dangerous manager likely patiently waiting to strike. In a slight rebuild I believe though.
8. Fern Creek Clerics, 0.832. Tough opening schedule here. He's got the second highest ratings overall so he's only going to move up.
9. lakey, -0.418. Playoff team last year and would be my pick to be towards the top of the cluster in the middle of that conference.
10. Blazing Ninjas, -0.635. New member of the Big 8 holding his own early. Solid promotees continue in the Big 8.
11. Natellio, -1.927. Nothing to see here. Just a bunch of trainees being played out of position.
12. East Gary Eagles, -1.802. Likely hoping that the new GE changes that are supposed to hinder inside teams will work. And he'll laugh has he knocks down jumpers.
13. Lumberjacks, -5.302. I think he's still sitting on cash, and his perimter D looks pretty scary. Likely another candidate to shoot up the rankings at some point.
14. Beavers, -8.102. Big win over the Eagles last night in a fantastic game. Good for you new guy.
15. Vulgar Array of Flowers, -11.043. One of my favorite team names ever and i don't even know it's purpose. I'll be cheering for you and enjoying typing your name every week.
16. Mt. Zion Rebels, -20.210. Down this far almost entirely because of ratings, but he had a huge disparity from one game to the next. Should be interesting to watch if consistency comes.

From: jbrody
This Post:
44
244300.5 in reply to 244300.4
Date: 6/19/2013 12:55:18 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
99
The Lumberjacks are not sitting on cash. We can barely pay the electric bill for home games. We've been spending all the franchise's money on weekly "scouting" trips to Amsterdam, supposedly to find a player who can get a damn rebound, but we still haven't found any prospects (except for a dancer named Lola with prodigious stamina and ball handling ability). Well... there was one other... but he looked like Christopher Garcia, and we don't sign ugly players to our roster.

From: natellio

This Post:
00
244300.6 in reply to 244300.5
Date: 6/19/2013 1:51:45 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
274274
... but he looked like Christopher Garcia, and we don't sign ugly players to our roster.


Hahaha.

This reminds me... A few seasons ago I put together a poll called Ugliest Player in III.6. Sounds like this should be renewed. I'll see if I can get a new one up today.

This Post:
00
244300.7 in reply to 244300.4
Date: 6/19/2013 3:16:12 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
9898
I had the benefit of injuring an opposing big fairly early on. I think there's better than a 50/50 chance the game would have come out the same way, but there is a reasonable chance I wouldn't have pulled out the win as well. That's notable considering I apparently have the highest inside defense rating right now, and I was playing a 2-3. That suggests most teams would have been overrun on most days.

This Post:
00
244300.8 in reply to 244300.7
Date: 6/19/2013 3:29:52 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
1313
I like that my team name entertains because my play on the court certainly will not. I'm looking forward to a season of getting dismantled fairly regularly.

This Post:
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244300.10 in reply to 244300.9
Date: 6/19/2013 6:36:40 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
9898
I'm not sure. I think it's been a little underrated because it doesn't seem to work well for the teams at the top. If a team is playing LI against you and they don't have very good guards, and if you have a SF that has good ID you it works really well. The rebounding advantage is as significant as the defense advantage...maybe more.

This Post:
00
244300.11 in reply to 244300.7
Date: 6/19/2013 10:06:50 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
4444
I anticipated a loss but the injury helped turn it into a blowout.
My team is kind of weird this season so there's a big chance I'll end up unloading some guys. I probably should have before the season started but I've been pretty distracted.

I do think 2-3 was improved some with the game engine changes, though with the cards i've got I'll be playing LI for a while.