Thx a lot perpete
If i try to do the math :
- there are 16 DIII leagues, so we need 256 (16*16) teams to promote
- there are currently 1161 utopists, which means 73 DIV leagues with human beings.
- this means an average of 3,5 promotion per DIV league.
- The league champion promotes, which leaves on average 2,5 promotions per DIV league
- so both conference leaders are sure to promote (in case they are not league champions)
- then it becomes complicated, depending on who is league champion (conference leader or not) : for instance, if all league champions are also conference leader then 1,5 per league (75%) of conference n°2 should promote. If no league champion is also league leader, only 0,5 per league (25%) of conference n°2 will promote.
So basically, you have to target the n°1 spot of your conference. Conference n°2 have a chance to promote, but no certainty. No way for Conference n°3 and after if they are not league champion. Wont be that easy after all ! Of course it all depends on the number of leagues at the end of the season
Am I right ?
Last edited by jeff44 at 4/11/2014 11:35:16 AM