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top Draft player probability ?

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This Post:
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305593.1
Date: 8/3/2020 8:09:19 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
260260
Hello, I have a simple question...

What is a probability to have a 5/5 A+ 18yo player in a generated draft ?

From: boule

This Post:
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305593.3 in reply to 305593.1
Date: 8/3/2020 1:36:23 PM
Boulettes
III.10
Overall Posts Rated:
20592059
Second Team:
Les Boulettes Utopiennes
I do not know. It is random. The draft can have good players with a few 5/5. The best draft ever i saw had 5 x 5/5 and among the 5 only 2 were 18y/o and once drafted only one was an 18 HoF.

From: khenry

This Post:
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305593.4 in reply to 305593.3
Date: 8/3/2020 2:14:58 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
487487
Last season we had 5 5/5 18 y/os but none came out HOF.

I once had a team with 1757 players and was $25,835,360 in debt. This is not that team. Join the Discord group open to anyone, but especially for USA managers to improve your club or get involved with the U21 and NT programs (https://discord.gg/cKpNkt2).
From: goranj

This Post:
00
305593.5 in reply to 305593.4
Date: 8/4/2020 4:55:36 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
168168
I had a draft in which I got (34076251) & (34076238) no 6 and no 28. Sadly I did not manage to get top from them, they reached only SS120.

King Crimson
This Post:
00
305593.6 in reply to 305593.1
Date: 8/4/2020 5:08:36 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
14901490
You can have zero 5/5 A+ 18yo. And as several others said, MVP is the more likely outcome anyway. It is more likely now than it used to as they boosted players' starting skills (so there are more 5/x) but they did nothing to potential so...

Last edited by Lemonshine at 8/4/2020 5:10:47 AM

This Post:
00
305593.8 in reply to 305593.7
Date: 8/5/2020 4:45:10 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
14901490
The rating is only a function of salary

This Post:
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305593.9 in reply to 305593.6
Date: 8/5/2020 1:27:28 PM
Vilkiukai
II.3
Overall Posts Rated:
440440
Second Team:
Vilkiukai II
2 seasons ago i was in bot league div 4. Draft had 8 5/5 players (was very excited, counted around 85% taking atleast 2, and like 27% taking third also), sadly only managed to snap 1....Oh and, everybody was MVP

Also had a streak before with like 10 seasons no 5/5 guy in old times, but nowadays it seems the probability is really jacked up. I am pretty sure it is average of ~2 players 5/5 in every draft, so ~95 %? should have atleast one.

But also need to have in account that most players are quite trash skillwise, so maybe lets count ~0,5 player per draft on average somewhat NT material.

Last edited by Vilkai [LTU NT] at 8/5/2020 1:29:01 PM

This Post:
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305593.11 in reply to 305593.1
Date: 8/10/2020 6:22:06 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
117117
My current draft has no 5/5 18 year olds. Only 5/5 19 year old I found before deciding not to waste more points is only A rated.