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International Competition

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This Post:
00
173944.101 in reply to 173944.100
Date: 2/27/2011 8:28:25 AM
BC Hostivaƙ
II.2
Overall Posts Rated:
11991199
Second Team:
Jirkov
To reach 2nd pool team have to go to next stage in EC or be close to it and go to at least semifinal of Consolation Tournament. I really don't care about it. Last time I overcalculated it as I hope for group with Schweiz and Nederland, but unfortunatelly Eesti went last week before the draw very close ahead of us and they got this group instead of us.

From: Bballin

This Post:
22
173944.102 in reply to 173944.99
Date: 2/27/2011 9:41:22 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
968968
Pool C:
1.France(2) 5-0 620 457
2.Deutschland(1) 5-0 566 441
3.Makedonija(5) 4-1 556 516
4.Ceska Rep.(4) 3-2 576 507
5.Cyprus(6) 2-3 492 527
6.Slovenija(3) 1-4 485 537
7.Andorra(8) 0-5 472 626
8.Cymru(7) 0-5 471 627

Makedonija 94 France 112
Makedonija had a lead at half, but as expected their surprising 4 game win streak came to an end against a very strong French team. Makedonija still has a very legitimate shot at advancing to the 2nd round, but theyll need back to back wins to do it and still need to face Deutschland. France put up some good ratings in this game. POTG: Joffrey Deschamps had 17 points, a team high 17 rebounds, and an 18.0 rating.

Ceska Rep. 97 Deutschland 107
This game pretty much spelled the end to Ceska Rep. advancing to the 2nd round. Deutscland is a very strong team though and Ceska Rep. had a good run. Ceska Rep. put up some good ratings, but Deutschland put up some unbelievable ratings and they won the game handily. POTG: Roland Krassnitzer had a game high 25 points, a game high 14 rebounds and a 19.0 rating.

Cymru 94 Slovenija 111
Slovenija had a methodical game winning every quarter and having those small quarter leads build up to a large victory in the end. Cymru even put in more effort, but Slovenija still managed to win the game. POTG: Julijan Vogric had 16 points, 13 rebounds and a 17.0 rating.

Andorra 94 Cyprus 110
Andorra put up a weak game and Cyprus took advantage, although Cyprus did use more effort in this game. Either way Cyprus took an easy one here. POTG: Nikolas Gkavoyiannos had a game high 28 points, a game high 5 assists, 5 rebounds and a game high 17.0 rating.

Note: three of the four losers scored 94 points and the one who didn't scored 97 :P

My predictions:
Slovenija(56) at Andorra(69) xD
Slovenija's GS will probably make them go with an inside attack, although it is Andorra, they could probably do anything and win. My pick: Slovenija should win this game easily.

Cyprus(54) at Cymru(85)
Both teams could go either way based on GS, but based on talent Cyprus has a big advantage. My pick: Cyprus improves to 3-3.

Deutschland(15) at Makedonija(30)
Makedonija should definetly look to go with an outside tactics in this one. This is a huge game for them, if they win this one they all they need as one more win for that shot at advancing. Although Makedonija got Deutschland on the wrong week. Deutschland has a strong GS and talent level. They could beat Makedonija inside or outside. Its pick your poison right now. My pick: Deutschland puts an end to an impressive run by Makedonija.

France(3) at Ceska Rep.(28)
France had a very strong GS update and with a win here will basically secure a spot in the next round. Ceska Rep. also had a good GS update although equal GS with France is not enough. My pick: France wins and Ceska Rep.s already dashed hopes are worsened.

From: Bballin

This Post:
11
173944.103 in reply to 173944.102
Date: 2/27/2011 11:41:23 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
968968

Pool D:
1.Lietuva(1) 5-0 598 468
2.Israel(4) 5-0 600 495
3.MagyarorszĂĄg(2) 4-1 613 480
4.Suomi(3) 3-2 622 557
5.RomĂąnia(5) 1-4 623 660
6.Azərbaycan(7) 1-4 500 650
7.Ireland(8) 1-4 440 615
8.Sverige(6) 0-5 496 567

Israel 105 Magyarorszag 95
Even though Israel played a 3-2 zone against Magyarorszag's Look Inside Israel won this one. Both teams put up some real good ratings, but Israel's were slightly better. This loss dampens Magyarorszag's chances,but they still got a shot. POTG: Amiad Ashkenazi had a game high 27 points, 9 rebounds and a 17.5 rating.

Suomi 114 Lietuva 127
Lietuva dropped 42 points in a high scoring 1st quarter and never looked back scoring 75 points in the 1st half. Suomi tried a 1-3-1 defense and their rebounding ratings took a real hit. Anyhow the better team won and Suomi's chance at advancing have been dashed. POTG: Danielius Malininas had a team high 24 points, a game high 17 rebounds and a 17.5 rating.

Azerbaycan 132 Romania 127
Azerbaycan followed suit with Suomi and 1-3-1'd Romania and it worked this time. Surprisingly Azerbaycan were able to win and Romania drops to 1-4 in a disappointing tournament for them. POTG: Taymaz Abdullayev had 31 points, a team high 6 assists, 4 rebounds and a 12.0 rating

Ireland 121 Sverige 120
Sverige had a 17 point halftime lead, but Ireland came back to tie it up by the end of the game and OT was needed where stunningly Ireland pulled out a 1point victory. Ireland crunched and Sverige TIE'd which really is the reason why Ireland won this one and what I thought would be the beginning to a winning streak for Sverige turned into their 5th straight loss. POTG; Tommy O Riain had 22 points, 12 rebounds, a game high 7 assists and a 14.0 rating.

My predictions:
Sverige(66) at Azerbaycan(83)
Can Sverige get off the snide and get their first win of the tournament? In simplest terms, yes. My pick: Sverige gets their first win.

Romania(46) at Ireland(73)
Ireland had the much better GS update, but Romania's talent advantage is so huge that I still choose them. My pick: Romania.

Magyarorszag(5) at Suomi(34)
Suomia had a fairly strong GS update, but Magyarorszag had a stronger one, coupled with their talent advantage this would should be predictable. Suomi already doesn't have a good chance at advancing, but Magyarorszag does. If they win this one and the next. My pick: Magyarorszag comes through when it counts.

Lietuva(16) at Israel(35)
Both teams had good GS updates, but Lietuva's was amazing. They could beat Israel either way and already have the talent advantage. Both teams are undefeated and looking to virtually lock themselves into a spot in the next round. My pick; Lietuva.


From: Bballin

This Post:
22
173944.104 in reply to 173944.103
Date: 2/28/2011 12:21:12 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
968968
Pool E:
1.España(1) 5-0 577 443
2.Poland(3) 4-1 522 433
3.Srbija(2) 4-1 585 506
4.Crna Gora(5) 3-2 562 535
5.Österreich(7) 1-4 486 534
6.Sakartvelo(6) 1-4 438 500
7.England(4) 1-4 504 589
8.Hayastan(8) 1-4 459 593

Crna Gora 107 Srbija 120
Srbija won this game and kept their hopes alive, while harming Crna Gora's hopes big time. Srbija won off of a 70 point 2nd half that saw them take control of the game. POTG: Nemanja Mlinarevic had 21 points, a game high 13 rebounds, and an 18.0 rating.

Poland 92 Espana 99
This game is really weird. Poland either had better ratings or the same ratings in each category and lost. Both teams went with an inside offense and M2M defense. Unless Poland had way less enthusiasm this doesn't make sense. Poland even pulled off a wondrous(medium) inside scoring rating. Anyway, Poland still has a really good chance of advancing if they win their next ttwo games and Espana is basically in already. POTG: Nuno Betanzos had a team high 22 points, 5 assists, 4 rebounds and a 17.0 rating.

Hayastan 111 England 98
All of that crunching and normaling caught up with England and bit them in the ass. They stunned England and now have lost four straight. Now they lost to Hayastan? What has happend? Both teams had some pretty bad ratings... POTG: Gabi Manoukyan had a game high 30 points and a 14.0 rating.

Sakartvelo 91 Osterreich 88
Both teams put up some decent ratings, Sakartvelo ran a RnG offense, but you know it isn;t effective when you go 3-33 from downtown and one player goes 1-17 :P. Anyways both these teams are part of the four 1-4 teams in this pool now. POTG: Nikoloz Gokadze had a team high 21 points, a team high 18 rebounds and a 15.5 rating.

My predictions:
England(62) at Sakartvelo(65)
England had a GS update that is going to make it hard to choose, they don't really have a clear choice as their GS is sort of random. Sakartvelo is in the same boat although their GS is better. My pick: England keeps on losing and Sakartvelo improves to 2-4.

Osterreich(58) at Hayastan(76)
If Osterreich can perform like they did last week, they'll win and I think they will. My pick: Osterreich also improves to 2-4.

Espana(11) at Crna Gora(31)
Crna Gora needs this win, but to do that they needed a grreat GS update coupled with Espana having a bad one. They didn't get it. My pick: Espana goes to 6-0 and eliminates Crna Gora from contention.

Srbija(6) at Poland(32)
Poland will go inside almost surely and Srbija could really go either way. The loser of this game is going to have very slim chances at advancing. They both had similiar GS updates and talent wise they are close. My pick: Srbija fully recovers from their loss to England earlier.

This Post:
00
173944.105 in reply to 173944.102
Date: 2/28/2011 12:49:47 AM
BC Hostivaƙ
II.2
Overall Posts Rated:
11991199
Second Team:
Jirkov
Do you think of different attitude in your predictions? It can change the game easily.

From: Bballin

This Post:
11
173944.106 in reply to 173944.104
Date: 2/28/2011 12:57:25 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
968968
Pool F:
1.Belgium(5) 5-0 554 456
2.Portugal(1) 4-1 570 457
3.Slovensko(2) 4-1 567 470
4.Ukraina(3) 2-3 501 486
5.Danmark(7) 2-3 472 497
6.Island(4) 2-3 520 556
7.Moldova(6) 1-4 480 559
8.Scotland(8) 0-5 432 615

Island 83 Portugal 108
Portugal put up some good ratings in this one and kept their 2nd round hopes alive. Island dropped to 2-3 and are one of three teams with that same record. POTG: Jose Calafate had 19 points, a team high 3 assists and an 18.0 rating.

Ukraina 99 Slovensko 109
Slovensko had very balanced ratings and looked strong in this one as they kept their 2nd round hopes alive. Ukraina is now another 2-3 team. POTG: Miroslav Capela had a game high 26 points, a game high 15 rebounds and a 17.5 rating.

Danmark 96 Moldova 86
Danmark held a slim lead heading into the 4th, and pulled away in the 4th. Moldova actually put up some pretty good ratings, but even with their extra effort they couldn't steal a win from Danmark. POTG: Karsten Bank had 15 points, a game high 8 assists, 5 rebounds and a 12.5 rating.

Scotland 79 Belgium 107
Belgium has to be the biggest surprise of the tournament in my eyes. I really never thought theyd be undefeated after 5 games, but they are. They got an easy victory over Scotland and should advance. POTG: Ahmad Abu-Hasan had a team high 24 points, 13 rebounds and a 16.5 rating.

My predictions:
Moldova(53) at Scotland(81)
Moldova definetly did not have the best GS update, but it was enough to beat Scotland this week. My pick: MOldova improves to 2-4 and Scotland keeps on losing.

Portugal(10) at Ukraina(39)
Portugal had a good GS update exceept that two of their best big men are in terrible GS. Ukraina had a good GS update for their bigs and should take advantage. My pick: Portugal pretty much needs to win this game, and Ukraina is just positioning for next season, Portugal has more incentive.

Belgium(44) at Danmark(63)
Danmarks 2 game winning streak ends here as Belgium will continue their impressive run and should finish undefeated, making the race for second between Portugal and Slovensko. My pick: Belgium.

Slovensko(14) at Island(38)
Slovensko have a lot of injuries and not a very good GS update. I still like them to give it everything they have to keep their hopes alive. My pick: Slovensko.

DONE! lol

This Post:
11
173944.108 in reply to 173944.107
Date: 2/28/2011 3:37:20 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
887887
Belgium(44) at Danmark(63)
Danmarks 2 game winning streak ends here as Belgium will continue their impressive run and should finish undefeated, making the race for second between Portugal and Slovensko. My pick: Belgium.


Belgium has some injury troubles this week. Last week we lost our best C on injury, this week we lose the second best one. The first one is recovered but in a bad GS. We don't have a deep roster, so I think we will have many difficulties today against Danmark. And a CT of Danmark is not excluded...

Loddo is ready to rock as usually :D

rwystyrk (Czech NT Manager) ,
Do you think of different attitude in your predictions? It can change the game easily

After reviewing such a huge number of games it is also axtra-difficult to analyze all the enthusiams and all the standings. BBalin is doing a fantastic job and you still want more :D

This Post:
00
173944.109 in reply to 173944.108
Date: 2/28/2011 6:38:06 AM
BC Hostivaƙ
II.2
Overall Posts Rated:
11991199
Second Team:
Jirkov
I don't want more I can live without this analysis. I think the analysis without taking this major factor on mind is little bit useless. And especially at this stage of the tournament many CT's can be expected as many teams are very close to being eliminated from next group stage and have to risk little bit more than usual.

This Post:
00
173944.110 in reply to 173944.109
Date: 2/28/2011 9:06:47 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
887887
I think the analysis without taking this major factor on mind is little bit useless.

Agreed
And especially at this stage of the tournament many CT's can be expected as many teams are very close to being eliminated from next group stage and have to risk little bit more than usual.

And agreed.

But remember that BBalin is not the machine and he is not the PC that can make these calculations during 5-10 minutes. Probably checking the enthusiasms + the GS + the standings of the teams will require at least few hours. And also BBalin is not european and he is looking at the european teams starting from this season.

Summarising all these factors I'd say that BBalin is doing fantastic job.
ALso it could be a good idea if we(europeans) could support his reviews by our own predictions as we are a little bit more aware of the players' skills and the some coach's NT style. Your's for example ;)
I'd try to get in time and write some predictions of the Group Of Death.

This Post:
00
173944.111 in reply to 173944.104
Date: 2/28/2011 9:15:21 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
959959
Poland 92 Espana 99
This game is really weird. Poland either had better ratings or the same ratings in each category and lost. Both teams went with an inside offense and M2M defense. Unless Poland had way less enthusiasm this doesn't make sense. Poland even pulled off a wondrous(medium) inside scoring rating. Anyway, Poland still has a really good chance of advancing if they win their next ttwo games and Espana is basically in already. POTG: Nuno Betanzos had a team high 22 points, 5 assists, 4 rebounds and a 17.0 rating


for me it was also the best game game of last round, but i don't think that Poland lost his game because of a lower enthusiam because this is included quite well in my eyes(or maybe even to strong). Maybe it was a bit unlucky, because game and ratings was close or spain have the better sideskills which didn't effect the rating that much.

I believe both team will make it, but Poland needs to play hard to proceed against srbja so that they maybe got problems in the next round.

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