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From: Bballin

This Post:
22
173944.104 in reply to 173944.103
Date: 2/28/2011 12:21:12 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
968968
Pool E:
1.España(1) 5-0 577 443
2.Poland(3) 4-1 522 433
3.Srbija(2) 4-1 585 506
4.Crna Gora(5) 3-2 562 535
5.Österreich(7) 1-4 486 534
6.Sakartvelo(6) 1-4 438 500
7.England(4) 1-4 504 589
8.Hayastan(8) 1-4 459 593

Crna Gora 107 Srbija 120
Srbija won this game and kept their hopes alive, while harming Crna Gora's hopes big time. Srbija won off of a 70 point 2nd half that saw them take control of the game. POTG: Nemanja Mlinarevic had 21 points, a game high 13 rebounds, and an 18.0 rating.

Poland 92 Espana 99
This game is really weird. Poland either had better ratings or the same ratings in each category and lost. Both teams went with an inside offense and M2M defense. Unless Poland had way less enthusiasm this doesn't make sense. Poland even pulled off a wondrous(medium) inside scoring rating. Anyway, Poland still has a really good chance of advancing if they win their next ttwo games and Espana is basically in already. POTG: Nuno Betanzos had a team high 22 points, 5 assists, 4 rebounds and a 17.0 rating.

Hayastan 111 England 98
All of that crunching and normaling caught up with England and bit them in the ass. They stunned England and now have lost four straight. Now they lost to Hayastan? What has happend? Both teams had some pretty bad ratings... POTG: Gabi Manoukyan had a game high 30 points and a 14.0 rating.

Sakartvelo 91 Osterreich 88
Both teams put up some decent ratings, Sakartvelo ran a RnG offense, but you know it isn;t effective when you go 3-33 from downtown and one player goes 1-17 :P. Anyways both these teams are part of the four 1-4 teams in this pool now. POTG: Nikoloz Gokadze had a team high 21 points, a team high 18 rebounds and a 15.5 rating.

My predictions:
England(62) at Sakartvelo(65)
England had a GS update that is going to make it hard to choose, they don't really have a clear choice as their GS is sort of random. Sakartvelo is in the same boat although their GS is better. My pick: England keeps on losing and Sakartvelo improves to 2-4.

Osterreich(58) at Hayastan(76)
If Osterreich can perform like they did last week, they'll win and I think they will. My pick: Osterreich also improves to 2-4.

Espana(11) at Crna Gora(31)
Crna Gora needs this win, but to do that they needed a grreat GS update coupled with Espana having a bad one. They didn't get it. My pick: Espana goes to 6-0 and eliminates Crna Gora from contention.

Srbija(6) at Poland(32)
Poland will go inside almost surely and Srbija could really go either way. The loser of this game is going to have very slim chances at advancing. They both had similiar GS updates and talent wise they are close. My pick: Srbija fully recovers from their loss to England earlier.

This Post:
00
173944.105 in reply to 173944.102
Date: 2/28/2011 12:49:47 AM
BC Hostivař
II.2
Overall Posts Rated:
11991199
Second Team:
Jirkov
Do you think of different attitude in your predictions? It can change the game easily.

From: Bballin

This Post:
11
173944.106 in reply to 173944.104
Date: 2/28/2011 12:57:25 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
968968
Pool F:
1.Belgium(5) 5-0 554 456
2.Portugal(1) 4-1 570 457
3.Slovensko(2) 4-1 567 470
4.Ukraina(3) 2-3 501 486
5.Danmark(7) 2-3 472 497
6.Island(4) 2-3 520 556
7.Moldova(6) 1-4 480 559
8.Scotland(8) 0-5 432 615

Island 83 Portugal 108
Portugal put up some good ratings in this one and kept their 2nd round hopes alive. Island dropped to 2-3 and are one of three teams with that same record. POTG: Jose Calafate had 19 points, a team high 3 assists and an 18.0 rating.

Ukraina 99 Slovensko 109
Slovensko had very balanced ratings and looked strong in this one as they kept their 2nd round hopes alive. Ukraina is now another 2-3 team. POTG: Miroslav Capela had a game high 26 points, a game high 15 rebounds and a 17.5 rating.

Danmark 96 Moldova 86
Danmark held a slim lead heading into the 4th, and pulled away in the 4th. Moldova actually put up some pretty good ratings, but even with their extra effort they couldn't steal a win from Danmark. POTG: Karsten Bank had 15 points, a game high 8 assists, 5 rebounds and a 12.5 rating.

Scotland 79 Belgium 107
Belgium has to be the biggest surprise of the tournament in my eyes. I really never thought theyd be undefeated after 5 games, but they are. They got an easy victory over Scotland and should advance. POTG: Ahmad Abu-Hasan had a team high 24 points, 13 rebounds and a 16.5 rating.

My predictions:
Moldova(53) at Scotland(81)
Moldova definetly did not have the best GS update, but it was enough to beat Scotland this week. My pick: MOldova improves to 2-4 and Scotland keeps on losing.

Portugal(10) at Ukraina(39)
Portugal had a good GS update exceept that two of their best big men are in terrible GS. Ukraina had a good GS update for their bigs and should take advantage. My pick: Portugal pretty much needs to win this game, and Ukraina is just positioning for next season, Portugal has more incentive.

Belgium(44) at Danmark(63)
Danmarks 2 game winning streak ends here as Belgium will continue their impressive run and should finish undefeated, making the race for second between Portugal and Slovensko. My pick: Belgium.

Slovensko(14) at Island(38)
Slovensko have a lot of injuries and not a very good GS update. I still like them to give it everything they have to keep their hopes alive. My pick: Slovensko.

DONE! lol

This Post:
11
173944.108 in reply to 173944.107
Date: 2/28/2011 3:37:20 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
887887
Belgium(44) at Danmark(63)
Danmarks 2 game winning streak ends here as Belgium will continue their impressive run and should finish undefeated, making the race for second between Portugal and Slovensko. My pick: Belgium.


Belgium has some injury troubles this week. Last week we lost our best C on injury, this week we lose the second best one. The first one is recovered but in a bad GS. We don't have a deep roster, so I think we will have many difficulties today against Danmark. And a CT of Danmark is not excluded...

Loddo is ready to rock as usually :D

rwystyrk (Czech NT Manager) ,
Do you think of different attitude in your predictions? It can change the game easily

After reviewing such a huge number of games it is also axtra-difficult to analyze all the enthusiams and all the standings. BBalin is doing a fantastic job and you still want more :D

This Post:
00
173944.109 in reply to 173944.108
Date: 2/28/2011 6:38:06 AM
BC Hostivař
II.2
Overall Posts Rated:
11991199
Second Team:
Jirkov
I don't want more I can live without this analysis. I think the analysis without taking this major factor on mind is little bit useless. And especially at this stage of the tournament many CT's can be expected as many teams are very close to being eliminated from next group stage and have to risk little bit more than usual.

This Post:
00
173944.110 in reply to 173944.109
Date: 2/28/2011 9:06:47 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
887887
I think the analysis without taking this major factor on mind is little bit useless.

Agreed
And especially at this stage of the tournament many CT's can be expected as many teams are very close to being eliminated from next group stage and have to risk little bit more than usual.

And agreed.

But remember that BBalin is not the machine and he is not the PC that can make these calculations during 5-10 minutes. Probably checking the enthusiasms + the GS + the standings of the teams will require at least few hours. And also BBalin is not european and he is looking at the european teams starting from this season.

Summarising all these factors I'd say that BBalin is doing fantastic job.
ALso it could be a good idea if we(europeans) could support his reviews by our own predictions as we are a little bit more aware of the players' skills and the some coach's NT style. Your's for example ;)
I'd try to get in time and write some predictions of the Group Of Death.

This Post:
00
173944.111 in reply to 173944.104
Date: 2/28/2011 9:15:21 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
959959
Poland 92 Espana 99
This game is really weird. Poland either had better ratings or the same ratings in each category and lost. Both teams went with an inside offense and M2M defense. Unless Poland had way less enthusiasm this doesn't make sense. Poland even pulled off a wondrous(medium) inside scoring rating. Anyway, Poland still has a really good chance of advancing if they win their next ttwo games and Espana is basically in already. POTG: Nuno Betanzos had a team high 22 points, 5 assists, 4 rebounds and a 17.0 rating


for me it was also the best game game of last round, but i don't think that Poland lost his game because of a lower enthusiam because this is included quite well in my eyes(or maybe even to strong). Maybe it was a bit unlucky, because game and ratings was close or spain have the better sideskills which didn't effect the rating that much.

I believe both team will make it, but Poland needs to play hard to proceed against srbja so that they maybe got problems in the next round.

This Post:
00
173944.112 in reply to 173944.110
Date: 2/28/2011 9:43:17 AM
BC Hostivař
II.2
Overall Posts Rated:
11991199
Second Team:
Jirkov
I'd try to get in time and write some predictions of the Group Of Death.

Which group is actually Group of Death?

I spent a lot of time by all the work in my club and our NT. So I havn’t enough time analyse in deep way more than our group. And there are some reasons why I don’t want to make public my predictions of games in our group.

Last edited by rwystyrk at 2/28/2011 9:47:23 AM

This Post:
00
173944.114 in reply to 173944.112
Date: 2/28/2011 10:07:32 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
887887
I'd try to get in time and write some predictions of the Group Of Death.

Which group is actually Group of Death?


Pool A
Team W L PF PA %
1 Italia 5 0 572 400 1.000
2 Hrvatska 5 0 607 465 1.000
3 Türkiye 4 1 582 471 0.800
4 Latvija 2 3 604 569 0.400
5 Bulgaria 2 3 549 531 0.400
6 Belarus 2 3 528 568 0.400
7 Norge 0 5 414 506 0.000
8 Luxembourg 0 5 410 756 0.000

Italia, Turkey, Latvia and Croatia are pretty strong teams. Bulgaria can also make an upset to anyone. So, 5 top-class teams are here..

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