The team matchup rating figure for shooting from the SG position is lower than either of my players actually acheived. So something must be reducing the team matchup rating.
Note that this is not about tactics or anything, it's just a maths question. How can the SG matchup rating give a points per 100 shots of 82.9 when my actual SGs were both shooting a better rate than that?
In other words, what other variables go into calculating that 'points per 100 shots' rating? It clearly isn't just a reflection of the SG's scoring rate in the game...
did they shot 100 times? no
that's the variable
Thanks, PatjeBono,
So now my question is how can the computer know what their 'in theory' performance was? What are the variables which explain the difference between the 'in theory' performance of 82.9 points per 100 shots, and their actual scoring rate of 96 points per 100 shots? Just good luck?
yes
if you flip a high number of coins you expect to have 50% heads and 50% tails
but if you flip only 10 coins you could easily have 6 heads and 4 tails
that's a 20% difference between the expected value (the MR) and the real result
and it's just based on luck
Last edited by mark_lenders at 3/4/2008 6:31:57 PM