Yh you definitely have a shot.. If you'll be the first , you'll be facing a much easier team than you would if you were the second. It seems that your last 2 league games are against weak teams.. you should TIE them. You can also TIE the semifinal game, because you have home court advantage + a better team. By doing this you can play normal in the conference finals with like 10 enthusiasm + home court advantage. Then when you hit the finals you'll still have some of that enthusiasm left.