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2 comments:
1) expect TIE-TIE for Deutschland vs. France. Deutschland has no reason to play anything else than TIE and France has 72 advantage in PD to Ceska rep. and 131 to Makedonija. There is almost no chance that France would lost 2nd rank on PD even if they lost to Deutschland
2) I expect quite an easy win of Ceska Rep. vs. Makedonija. As you wrote, they break their enthusiasm by CT last week.

2 comments:
1) expect TIE-TIE for Deutschland vs. France. Deutschland has no reason to play anything else than TIE and France has 72 advantage in PD to Ceska rep. and 131 to Makedonija. There is almost no chance that France would lost 2nd rank on PD even if they lost to Deutschland
2) I expect quite an easy win of Ceska Rep. vs. Makedonija. As you wrote, they break their enthusiasm by CT last week.

hehe now we know that France played TIE :) i could imagine that you played a Ct vs normal, too.

And good luck for your last game, and for the mission impossible.

No need to hide facts at the moment. It's important just for France and their coach knows what I played. Anyway, I can be just fooling ;-)

yes for us is it pretty equal, we would TIE anyway as you said.

A win would be nice, but our best lineup would be the same against 5 or 13 enthusiam ;)

Pool D:
1.Lietuva(1) 6-0 697 551
2.Israel(4) 5-1 683 594
3.Magyarország(2) 4-2 723 593
4.Suomi(3) 4-2 735 667
5.România(5) 2-4 752 772
6.Sverige(6) 1-5 605 661
7.Azərbaycan(7) 1-5 594 759
8.Ireland(8) 1-5 552 744

Magyarorszag 110 Suomi 113
Suomi put in extra effort and it paid off as they pulled off the win and kept their slim hopes at advancing to the 2nd round alive. Suomi had some very impressive ratings in this one including a marvelous(low) inside scoring rating. Magyarorszag held a 3 point lead at half, but Suomi came together and took the wn. POTG: Ove Petttersson had 25 points on 11-12 sooting, 8rebounds and a 17.5 rating.

Lietuva 99 Israel 83
In the battle of the two undefeated teams, Lietuva came away with the win and secured a spot in the 2nd round. Israel's loss coupled with their PD means that their next game will most likely be a must win. Both teams used the same effort level and both teams ran outside tactics, but Lietuva was just to strong. POTG: Aristotelis Degulys had a game high 22 points, a game high 6 assists, and a 19.0 rating.

Romania 129 Ireland 112
Both teams used the same effort and Romania came through with the impressive ratings. Their marvelous(high) inside scoring rating helped them to score 30+ points in each quarter. The win for Romania gives them outright control of 5th place and look strong while Ireland is still i the basement. POTG: Ovidiu Popescu had 29 points, a team high 12 rebounds, 4 assists and a 15.5 rating.

Sverige 109 Azerbaycan 94
Sverige got their first win of the tournament and it came in a CT vs TIE game, where they were the team TIEing. azerbaycan has some pretty bad ratings, but they aren't a very strong team. POTG: Nicolai Holerberg had a game high 30 points, 4 rebounds and a 17.0 rating.

My predictions:
Azerbaycan(80) at Ireland(73)
Talent wise these teams are similiar. GS wise I think Azerbaycan had a slightly better GS update, especially down low. Expect an inside battle. These teams are both trying to finish out of the basement and a win will assure that, so expect both teams to CT. My pick: Azerbaycan.

Sverige(64) at Romania(46)
Sverige is 1-5, Romania is 2-4. The winner of this game will probably be 5th. Expect both teams to CT as they have nothing else to play for. Sverige is weaker GSwise and talentwise. My pick: Romania.

Israel(34) at Suomi(33)
If israel wis they are in. If they lose they'll need some things to go their way in order to advance. Suomi needs to win and have Lietuva beat Magyarorszag AND end up having a better PD then Israel to advance. Suomi's GS update makes them a huge threat down low and Suomi looks stronger then Israel this week. I think Suomi will CT and Israel will need to CT to win I think. My pick: Suomi.

Lietuva(15) at Magyarorszag(5)
Magyarorszag needs a win and an Israel loss, plus a better PD then Israel to advance. Lietuva has already clinched a spot. Lietuva should TIE as they have nothing more to play for. Magyarorszag may thro a CT at Lietuva, but a normal is very possible as well. Lietuva has the stronger team and the better GS update. Magyarorszag's best big man is injured. It is not looking good for Magyarorszag. My pick: I think Magyarorszag will CT and if they do the extra effort should be enough for them to win.

i apologize for not finishing the writeups from a couple weeks ago, but it was a busy weekend :P.

i am just going to do a quick overview of the results of each pool and of the 2nd round.

Pool A:
1.Italia(1) 7-0 800 603
2.Türkiye(2) 6-1 810 671
3.Hrvatska(3) 5-2 809 688
4.Bulgaria(5) 4-3 768 717
5.Belarus(7) 3-4 788 783
6.Latvija(4) 2-5 805 802
7.Norge(6) 1-6 619 687
8.Luxembourg(8) 0-7 587 1035

Well my first ever predictions didn't end up being so wrong. Latvija surprised me, but I got the top three! Anways this group pretty muched played out the way I thought it would and Italia easily went perfect with their HCA and could far. Turkiye is probably one of the best teams to finish 2nd.

Pool B:
1.Eesti(2) 6-1 803 683
2.Nederland(3) 6-1 822 715
3.Schweiz(1) 5-2 771 639
4.Hellas(5) 4-3 725 689
5.Rossiya(4) 3-4 720 740
6.Bosna i Hercegovina(6) 2-5 730 716
7.Shqipëria(7) 1-6 646 824
8.Malta(8) 1-6 610 821

This group was rattling. A team I picked to make the final four didn't make it out of the first round. The culprit? Nederland. They earned it however. While this was happening, Eesti snuck around and finished first losing only once along the way. nederland used alot of effort the last few games though and I am not sure if there is an enthusiasm rest or not, could someone confirm that for me? I don't think either of the two teams advancing, nederland and Eesti, will make the final four, but they'll be strong.

Pool C:
1.France(2) 6-1 773 618
2.Deutschland(1) 6-1 752 611
3.Ceska Rep.(4) 5-2 772 658
4.Makedonija(5) 4-3 724 737
5.Slovenija(3) 3-4 700 722
6.Cyprus(6) 2-5 693 751
7.Andorra(8) 1-6 666 814
8.Cymru(7) 1-6 668 837

France was able to beat Deutschland and claim first, but as long as they both make it, it doesn't really matter. I see them both going real far. I actually got the last place team wrong, odd. Makedonija got off to a hot start, but fizzled at the end. Slovenija really disappointed.

Pool D:
1.Lietuva(1) 6-1 771 639
2.Israel(4) 6-1 792 678
3.Magyarország(2) 5-2 811 667
4.Suomi(3) 4-3 819 776
5.Sverige(6) 2-5 746 775
6.România(5) 2-5 866 913
7.Azərbaycan(7) 2-5 691 843
8.Ireland(8) 1-6 636 841

Lietuva was no surprise, but Israel was rather shocking. I thought Magyarorszag was going to make it for sure. However, you can't deny Israel's worthiness to advance. They probably won''t last very long in the 2nd round, but it is definetly an accomplishment. Israel moved up and Magyarorszag and Suomi slid down, everything else was pretty straight forward, no other surprises here.

Pool E:
1.España(1) 6-1 804 653
2.Poland(3) 6-1 757 625
3.Srbija(2) 5-2 785 719
4.Sakartvelo(6) 3-4 638 651
5.Crna Gora(5) 3-4 764 784
6.Österreich(7) 2-5 697 722
7.England(4) 2-5 703 799
8.Hayastan(8) 1-6 599 794

Poland beat out Srbija for the final spot and it isn't that surprising. I had a toughtime picking between Srbija and Poland and Poland pulled it out. Espana took first with only one loss. Two surprises in this group. England dropping to seventh and Sakartvelo improving to fourth. I never would of guessed that! England stunned Srbija in the opener and it really is basically the reason that Srbija did not advance. Sakartvelo stealthily took fourth from Crna Gora and Osterreich.

Pool F:
1.Belgium(5) 7-0 756 639
2.Portugal(1) 6-1 791 642
3.Slovensko(2) 5-2 775 673
4.Danmark(7) 3-4 686 691
5.Ísland(4) 3-4 754 802
6.Ukraina(3) 2-5 724 738
7.Moldova(6) 2-5 708 795
8.Scotland(8) 0-7 660 874

Woah. I got this group wayyyy wrong. It makes it more exciting though! All I got right was who would finish last! :P Anyways Belgium absolutely stunned and went undefeated to join Italia as the only undefeated teams. I had them pegged as the number 5 team! not 1! They are probably the weakest number 1 team to advance this season and will probably hold up the rear in the 2nd round. Danmark surprised and finished 4th. A few good wins allowed them to sneak up their. Ukraina disappointed and I had them third but they decided to be 7th. Scotland was my one.. uhh.. bright spot? They finished last with an 0-7 record to join Luxembourg as the only teams to not win a game.

2nd Round!!

Pool G:
1.Italia
2.France
3.Espana
4.Portugal
5.Israel
6.Nederland

1.Italia has HCA and one of, if not the strongest team in the tournament. A pretty easy pick to make. As long as they manage GS and enthusiasm they should advance. If they are able to get Fanesi's GS up to a useable level, they will easily go undefeated, otherwise they should still go undefeated :P

2.I picked France to make it to the final four and based on what ive seen I am not willing to change that prediction. They have a very strong team. If they continue to manage their GS wisely and their enthusiasm Italia could be the only difficult game.

3.Espana, at this point in the tournament it is very, very hard to pick the order, but Espana comes after Italia and France because their roster is just weaker, that is all. Their is nothing much I can say here.

4.Portugal has a strong roster, I mean they made it this far. If they get their other 400k big man to a useable GS level they could push France and with their better GS management, they could most certaintly beat Espana ou for third.

5.I didn't pick Israel to even make it this far, I don't expect them to go much further. They may have a strong team, but it just doesn't stack up to the absolute monster rosters in this pool.

6.Nederland, not expected to make it this far, and have used a lot of their enthusiasm just to get here. Thats gonna cost them and they should hold the back end of Pool G.

Pool H:
1.Deutschland
2.Turkiye
3.Lietuva
4.Poland
5.Eesti
6.Belgium

1. I picked Deutschland to make the final four, not going to change that. They lost to France in their final game of the first round and if my predictions end up being correct a semi-final rematch against France would be the result.

2.Turkiye, my Schweiz replacement. I picked Turkiye to advance to the final four because i like thir managment of tactics, enthusiasm and GS plus they have a strong roster. it will be a battle to finish 1st and avoid a semi-final matchup with Italia.

3.Lietuva is soooooo strong, this was so tough to pick and Lietuva could easily finish 1st, however I see third as a more likely result. They have a very versatile roster and could surprise teams with their tactic choices.

4.Poland beat out Srbija and they have England to thank for that. However Poland still went 6-1 on their way to advancing so it wasn't alll England. While Poland was strong enough to beat Srbija I don't think they are strong enough to advance over the three teams I have placed before them.

5.Eesti teamed up with Nederland to deny Schweiz a spot in the 2nd round. They are a strong inside oriented team, but I don't think that'll be enough.

6.Belgium, pulled 1st place out of their a-... butt. They can't stand up against the teams here though. I think inside or outside they just don't stack up with anybody here and should be the caboose of this group.

Pool G is way stronger than Pool H,I think that the best 3 team that placed 1st in the previous stage come up together,while they could have problems to manage enthusiasm trying to advance to the semi-final

England move against Srbija at the end reveals itself as a loss-loss situation for both the teams,really not understood

Last edited by Steve Karenn at 3/13/2011 10:26:59 AM