a player with a history, a career, there is a tendency that reveals itself over time -- without careful study, just a ballpark estimate, i find players that are close to 3 fouls per game are foul-prone; you can glance over a player's game-by-game and see patterns, too. it can vary, too. my pg can go two, three games and be ok, and then he will have a game where he gets four fouls in the first five minutes. with study, i believe you will find that the foulers are not "random" --