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Informal Draft Guide

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From: BBGM

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120597.14 in reply to 120597.3
Date: 12/2/2009 8:23:43 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
1515
I cannot get you reliable info on Potential for people who have been only scouted once. I just don't have a large enough sample size to say anything reliably although if people are willing you can send me message and I will send you my email where you can send me a screen shot of your draft and I will use it to improve upon and expand the info I have. On age it appears to be close to 50% chance either way that you will get an 18 or 19 year old. For the star ratings these Are the numbers I have currently starting with the highest and goes to the lowest. 15.6% (5) 18.2% (4) 15.1% (3) 14.6% (2) 3.1% (1). I am shocked with the percentage of 1 star rated players but I am kind of glad its so low.

From: BBGM

This Post:
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120597.15 in reply to 120597.4
Date: 12/2/2009 8:27:03 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
1515
I think a lot of the draft strategy depend on how you run your team and what type of training you do. I used to do a lot of two position big training and I would have been happy with a 3 star player that has good potential and that is 18. because I would train them for a season sell them for a decent profit. Not to mention the new economic model which rewards you for developing the players you draft. Now though I tend to agree with you a little more because I am focusing a lot more on 1 pos. training.

Last edited by BBGM at 12/2/2009 9:02:08 AM

Message deleted
From: BBGM

This Post:
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120597.17 in reply to 120597.6
Date: 12/2/2009 8:29:24 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
1515
I agree with Josef ka here and I would also look closely at fouls if you plan on doing 1 position training.

From: BBGM

This Post:
00
120597.18 in reply to 120597.11
Date: 12/2/2009 8:38:11 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
1515
Well to the first part each GM has their own Style and with the current prices on the TL I think draft picks can make mroe of a difference on a team. On the second charge I can only stand on the math, which right now tells me that if you pick a player you haven't scouted you have only an 18% chance they will be a 1 or 2 star rated player. Although I am probably crazy to take these numbers too seriously since I am working with a limited sample size. On another you be surprised at how bad some people draft not mention the randomness of inactive. Although looking at my preferences for picks in the past three seasons I think your top 15 picks to be of great importance. So my advice is to put a lot of thought into them. I have got in the past three seasons my 9th choice twice and my 7th choice one in the second round. I have seen one draft in particular with 8 5 star rated players and 12 4 star rated payers. So you could easily get two worthwhile players with a little thought and effort.

Last edited by BBGM at 12/2/2009 8:44:44 AM

This Post:
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120597.19 in reply to 120597.18
Date: 12/2/2009 10:43:21 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
3333
My draft:
13x5* 12x4* 13x3* 8x2* 2x1*

26 x 1 time scout
22 x 2 times scout

Very happy

This Post:
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120597.20 in reply to 120597.19
Date: 12/2/2009 11:03:47 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
1515
Wow thats the best Draft pool that I have seen so far. Thanks for the Numbers.

This Post:
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120597.21 in reply to 120597.13
Date: 12/2/2009 12:08:48 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
1515
You're right, I was talking from my perspective there, and frankly, I do believe that. However, I'm in division V with probably two or three players who are paying attention, so that won't apply to everyone. Last year, 3 guys better than 4 star / 2 potential were taken with the last 8 picks in my league, so I know it can happen. If this guy (10592140) is pick #46, then it's an entirely credible strategy.

That said, you are probably right for the majority of people, who are not in a wildly uncompetitive league.

From: broncoWI

To: BBGM
This Post:
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120597.22 in reply to 120597.15
Date: 12/2/2009 12:22:34 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
1515
Another very good point. It's becoming obvious that I was only thinking about my position when I said that. I'm doing 1 position big training, and I have the guys that I'm focusing on already, so unless I get someone outstanding who convinces me to sell one of my trainees, they won't get very much training. So mostly I'm focusing on finding people who will sell for a lot, or if they have low potential, could take over a starting spot.

This Post:
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120597.23 in reply to 120597.7
Date: 12/4/2009 12:32:07 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
11
Thanks for the info. Also, what are the odds of getting an 18 year old player because I have several players that I only scouted once but have 5 star ratings? I'm wondering whether I should try my luck with one of these players and hope that he's 18 with decent potential.

This Post:
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120597.24 in reply to 120597.23
Date: 12/4/2009 12:54:48 AM
Aussie Pride
II.3
Overall Posts Rated:
543543
Its totally random and would come down to luck. You could end up with an 18 year old with good potential or a 19 year old with low potential. As you can see the draft is tough because u never feel like u have enough information to rank your players how u want.

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