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Normal vs. CT: worries

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From: Ragans

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25446.14 in reply to 25446.12
Date: 4/21/2008 2:58:59 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
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I am in 1st place, in first round I will play against team no. 4 which will definately play CT, but playing for me CT would be suicide, because I am thinking about Finals and promotion....so I am gonna take Normal, plus good tactics choise, plus that my opponent hasnt TIEd last 5 games, plus My team is stronger....so I guess there is no broblem of playing Normal.....dont need to wory so much about these TIE/N/CT....need to take into account also how good is your team...and your tactics choise.....

From: Emilio

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25446.15 in reply to 25446.13
Date: 4/21/2008 3:03:51 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
329329
Check this post: (24228.65)
You will find some examples.

¡Me aburro! (Homer Simpson)
From: sneakyB

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25446.16 in reply to 25446.14
Date: 4/21/2008 3:04:50 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
44
Yeah well, good luck to you but you need to know that you have a good chance of loosing, playing normal vs. crunch.

In the french league, last season's winner in first division got his ass kicked in this year's cup quartefinals by a team from DIV. He played normal with 12 in enthusiasm, against crunch for the DIV.

From: Emilio

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25446.17 in reply to 25446.14
Date: 4/21/2008 3:09:38 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
329329
I´m also in first position of my league (II.3 of spain) with 20-2.
For me, it is very risky to play normal in 1-match playoff. You risk all the season work and just one lucky day of your opponent...
Arriving to the final with low enthusiasm is not the end of the world. You have 3 matches to plan you strategy.
You will see tomorrow night posts after PO matches...
I´m not telling that most normal vs CT will loose, but more than expected.

¡Me aburro! (Homer Simpson)
From: Ragans

This Post:
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25446.18 in reply to 25446.17
Date: 4/21/2008 3:21:50 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
3030
Anyway I will take the risk and play Normal...otherwise there was no sense to build up the Entusiasm before the PO, I have played Normal already vs CT in away court and I won, I was playing all the time TIE against normal, away or at home and I won....I think there is no problem of playing Normal....
Remember there will allways be losers and someone who will always blame about something....and I believe that this game is not just about TIE/N/CT.....!!!

Plus I will have home team advantage in all games except 2nd final game...

Last edited by Ragans at 4/21/2008 3:22:44 PM

From: Emilio

This Post:
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25446.20 in reply to 25446.18
Date: 4/21/2008 3:36:54 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
329329
I agree with most of the things you say. Good teams should not have problems.
But some managers with slightly better team will have problems.
In your case, I don´t know your team or your opponent's team, but I see that you have win by 10 points at his field with the same attitude (PIC-PIC or N-N).
Now you play at home, but he can play CT. This way you will get a close match.
You have a slight advantage but not so big. Enthusiasm should be similar.

I don´t like this, but with the new engine, 1-match playoffs are mostly related to the CT-N decision. Next season they will change it.

¡Me aburro! (Homer Simpson)
From: Ragans

This Post:
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25446.21 in reply to 25446.20
Date: 4/21/2008 3:41:56 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
3030
I cant find right now but BB-Charles posted somewhere some few days ago what happen in different variations(porobability to win or lose) If you play at home or away and options which both teams take TIE/N/CT, I am not sure but as I remember from his post that If I play at home ant choose normal and my opponent CT and plays away...it is aprox 50:50

From: Emilio

This Post:
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25446.23 in reply to 25446.21
Date: 4/21/2008 4:10:57 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
329329
I have also read it.
Teams playing TIE are tipically like your team: A good team who plays against not so good teams, so they can win even TIE vs. Normal. So the stadistics are too optimistics...
Anyway, even with this, don´t you think that 50:50 is too risky for a quarter of final playoff? Only one match... It is like throwing a coin!

¡Me aburro! (Homer Simpson)
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