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Rookie potential

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40492.14 in reply to 40492.13
Date: 7/28/2008 6:02:12 PM
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How?

This Post:
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40492.15 in reply to 40492.14
Date: 7/28/2008 6:04:04 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
225225
How?

Isn't it obvious? He drafted someone with a 4* potential last season who turned to be an MVP.

"I don't know half of you half as well as I should like; and I like less than half of you half as well as you deserve."
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40492.16 in reply to 40492.15
Date: 7/28/2008 7:03:16 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
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Nevermind, I missed Mark's post about how the potential was distributed. Which is pretty logical.

Besides that, i was wondering how he could have known that he actually drafted a 4 or 5 star potential player since the draft results only show the order of the picks and how many favored them. But then again he could also be the first one to pick, meaning it doesn't matter.

Initial thought was, how does one draft result prove that a 5 star actually gives a MVP/ATG? How was he so sure that the player was one of his 5 star or 4 star picks?


All in all, my mistake.

Last edited by Legen...Riceball...Dary! at 7/28/2008 7:06:17 PM

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40492.17 in reply to 40492.16
Date: 7/28/2008 9:19:58 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
225225
Besides that, i was wondering how he could have known that he actually drafted a 4 or 5 star potential player since the draft results only show the order of the picks and how many favored them. But then again he could also be the first one to pick, meaning it doesn't matter.

The draft shows the order of the picks and how you ranked them in your list. Therefore, you know exactly which player from your list you have picked, and if he was scouted twice, that also means you know the talent star rating

"I don't know half of you half as well as I should like; and I like less than half of you half as well as you deserve."
From: vinnie2k

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40492.18 in reply to 40492.4
Date: 7/29/2008 4:29:19 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
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I would actually favour a normal distribution over your flat distribution.

From: Thijs

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40492.19 in reply to 40492.18
Date: 7/29/2008 4:40:39 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
9292
And the normal distribution being.... (??) The more ideas we have about how the distribution is made, the easier it will become to check the facts after the draft is over and determine which distribution is used by BB. So if you have an idea, please share it!

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40492.20 in reply to 40492.17
Date: 7/29/2008 4:55:39 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
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True, plus I did have the #1 pick last season.

This Post:
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40492.21 in reply to 40492.20
Date: 7/29/2008 4:58:15 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
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But the thing that's really nebulous is how the current skills star rating is calculated.

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40492.22 in reply to 40492.17
Date: 7/29/2008 5:07:40 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
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I never really paid attention on how it was listed, i've never had a good draft spot to begin with. I thought you only saw 2 types of information in the draft results page. "picks" and "favored". Picks was always nicely numbered from 1 - 48, and favored was kinda varied from ones and two's and in the 30-ish.

And i know when you draft the second time you get the other information. ;)

From: vinnie2k

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40492.23 in reply to 40492.19
Date: 7/29/2008 6:30:21 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
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Sorry :-)

The normal distribution is the Gaussian distribution:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normal_distribution

It's a sombrero shape instead of a flat distribution.

From: Thijs

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40492.24 in reply to 40492.23
Date: 7/29/2008 7:00:36 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
9292
The normal distribution could be used for the frequentie of appearence, but if I understood BB correctly [40492.8 ] and the statement that only 20% has allstar potential or higher still makes me believe that potential is liniaer in terms of star rating/potential. Players with 3, 4 or 5 star potential have allstar potential and up, but only 20% of the players have it (not evenly divided between 3, 4 and 5 stars but something like 15%, 4% and 1%). I am not completly firmiliar with the "normal" distribution, but that would almost mean that only 5 star potential has an allstar potential or up, and so 20% of the draftees should have a 5 star potential...

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