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FD - Skills

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112418.16 in reply to 112418.15
Date: 9/19/2009 10:13:55 PM
1986 Celtics
IV.21
Overall Posts Rated:
88
here is a report on a presentation that was given at a sports analytic conference.

bottom line, what you said is true... it is also a very small effect and could be explained by effects on shot selection.

http://myespn.go.com/blogs/truehoop/0-39-90/hot-and-heavy--about-nba-shooting.html

This Post:
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112418.17 in reply to 112418.16
Date: 9/20/2009 1:07:11 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
458458
They have also debunked the "clutch player" myth. With the excwption of Larry Bird.

Once I scored a basket that still makes me laugh.
This Post:
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112418.18 in reply to 112418.3
Date: 9/20/2009 1:08:26 AM
Kitakyushu
ASL
Overall Posts Rated:
12341234
Random coin flipper.....very coooooooollll

This Post:
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112418.19 in reply to 112418.7
Date: 9/20/2009 1:38:42 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
196196
You flipped 16 coins of type Postumus - Bronze/Silver Antoninianus - Roman Empire - that one was seriously cool :D

If you do that enough times then there really is no need to worry about getting a formula right or not!!!!!

The randomness of the result far outweighs any logical planning for tactics and training. I feel from my match experiences that ID is much more effective blocking IS than OD is at blocking JS.

More a hunch than anything else so dont shoot me!! I'm going back to that coin flipping site.....oh and dont forget to add in another variable Ned.....

Player X is called for a shooting foul..... is this the equivalent of the coin landing on its side??!!

This Post:
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112418.20 in reply to 112418.19
Date: 9/21/2009 12:21:32 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
409409
The randomness of the result far outweighs any logical planning for tactics and training. I feel from my match experiences that ID is much more effective blocking IS than OD is at blocking JS.



Regardless my own opinion about how defeses work in BB, I would say that this is true in real life. A good "outside" defender might be weaker against an "outside" shot than a good "inside"defender against an "inside" shot.

This might be also part of the GE.

Last edited by Zero, the Magi. at 9/21/2009 12:22:09 AM

This Post:
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112418.21 in reply to 112418.20
Date: 9/21/2009 9:36:23 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
155155
I don't know if this is what the original poster was referring to but I have been having discussions with some pretty experienced managers about the impact of JR. Basically, the theory is that the max jump range you should have on a SG is 10-11. After that, you're better off training JS.

So why have a skill whose usefulness caps out at a certain level?

Run of the Mill Canadian Manager
This Post:
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112418.23 in reply to 112418.22
Date: 9/22/2009 12:43:07 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
155155
Well, the simple answer is that I don't believe the theory is right.


In that case, the majority of the user base, including the current world champion, are assembling their teams based on a flawed theory (yes, I did a little non-randomized poll - perhaps it wasn't representative of the BB population and wouldn't be publishable in a peer reviewed journal but I'm going with it).

I don't know what their evidence is and frankly I didn't even know this theory was out there until my country's NT manager told me about it. But these are managers with lots of wins under their belts. I can't believe that they would all be wrong.

Run of the Mill Canadian Manager
This Post:
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112418.24 in reply to 112418.23
Date: 9/22/2009 12:54:02 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
134134
you should account in this theory the fact that, while for sure a JR greater that 10 has to have some impact on the game, it is so expensive on salary that atleast till now it was better to leave it around 10.

This Post:
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112418.26 in reply to 112418.25
Date: 9/22/2009 1:18:07 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
155155
If you are in a league without good perimeter defenders, then after a certain point training outside shooting will have diminishing returns. But then, this is true for every type of skill at some point, right?


I get this point but why would JR have diminishing returns for a SG faster than JS? It just doesn't make sense. If you go by the salary formula, the most important offensive skill for a SG should be JR.

To me, that always indicated that a great SG in BB, against a great perimeter d, should have JR in the 14/15 range to make a good portion of his 3s. However, what I am essentially being told is that average JR is what you should strive for.

Run of the Mill Canadian Manager
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