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unrealistic Free Throw %

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187744.170 in reply to 187744.164
Date: 7/12/2011 3:19:08 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
573573
...I think the real debate is whether the game should follow a realistic approach or not. I honestly don't care either way, but I think a fair suggestion is starting players at 2.5 FT skill (between pitiful and awful) and then, as others suggested, have 1 FT pop for every 4-5 in JS.

The only reason to bring up actual statistics is that many people are making the argument that it is unrealistic to have good jump shooters be poor free throw shooters. Well how do we decide what is realistic? Cherry pick a few examples that support our case? No, that's lame. As is just stating, "anybody who plays knows this."

Instead, we collect a bunch of results from the real world ask: how common is it that good jump shooting goes along with good free throw shooting. And the answer is, contrary to everyone's gut feeling, the two don't go that well together. So your suggestion of adding 1 FT per 4-5 JS doesn't reflect real world results. There was a very slight tendency for good 3 point shooters to be better FT shooters, but it wasn't that strong either.

However, what the statistics do show, is that there is a certain floor of free throw percentage. Even the worst FT guys make at least 30-40% of their shots. In that case, if realism is your goal, suggesting that every player starts with pitiful or awful FT is quite reasonable. There's also ceiling effect as well; not too many guys are hitting above 92% (not sure what the upper levels of BB players is - surely nobody ever complained about it!).

The idea of having FT skill decay like stamina is cool too; one of the articles I read about FT shooting noted how many coaches hate to spend practice time on FTs, and will only do it when the FT% falls below a certain rate). This would also fit with your statement that the real world statistics are marred by practice.

Now all the above rests on the premise that the statistical results in BB should not be too far away from real life(i.e., they should be realistic). I don't see it that way, and would prefer to leave the FT shooting as it is, and force managers to make the strategic decision of when to spend a week training FT.

But, even for those people arguing that this unrealistic situation should be changed, linking FT to JS (or JR) doesn't accomplish your goal.

This Post:
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187744.171 in reply to 187744.155
Date: 7/12/2011 4:46:09 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
12001200
Either you're mathematically clueless or willfully ignorant of what's been written. As I said earlier, it'd be nice to see someone try to disprove this data. I'm guessing you'll instead respond with another emotional rant full of CAPS and hahahahas.

Uhm, that was me and not the poor Japanese user.
And I don't think there's a need to insult someone just to make your point.

Seriously, I'm getting tired about this statistic that you continuously come up with.
The model in that "study" is just WRONG (yes, wrong in CAPS)

Didn't you notice that all players' FG% are considered? Yes, even Shaq's FG%. Have you ever seen Shaq shooting jumpers? No, so why does the study consider his FG%? I assume you don't care because it proves your point, who's clueless now? :D
That's just an example. Another example: even 3pt shots during a game are not a good comparison criterion, because in game your shots are usually contested (and if you're a good shooter usually you get a good defender) while during FT you are not contested. Can you get it?

I'm just saying, if you train JS then you get some FT training too.

How strange, after more than 150 messages you still don't get the point, just because you're too busy insulting other users. Go on, please, make yourself comfortable.

PS: hahaha. CAPS. CAPS.

Last edited by Biffo (*DT Member) at 7/12/2011 4:49:24 PM

This Post:
00
187744.172 in reply to 187744.171
Date: 7/12/2011 5:02:24 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
573573
...Didn't you notice that all players' FG% are considered? Yes, even Shaq's FG%. Have you ever seen Shaq shooting jumpers? No, so why does the study consider his FG%? I assume you don't care because it proves your point, who's clueless now? :D
That's just an example. Another example: even 3pt shots during a game are not a good comparison criterion, because in game your shots are usually contested (and if you're a good shooter usually you get a good defender) while during FT you are not contested. Can you get it?


No, I don't get it. Because in the BB game, JS and JR control a players ability to hit jumpshots and 3 pointers. You are arguing that the real life FG% and 3P% don't influence FT%, why on earth should JS/JR be linked with FT in the game? That makes absolutely no sense at all.

From: j9s3

This Post:
00
187744.173 in reply to 187744.172
Date: 7/12/2011 5:26:33 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
5151
No, I don't get it. Because in the BB game, JS and JR control a players ability to hit jumpshots and 3 pointers. You are arguing that the real life FG% and 3P% don't influence FT%, why on earth should JS/JR be linked with FT in the game? That makes absolutely no sense at all.



If a player is so horrible at shooting FTs, but is good at jump shots, it doesn't take much brains for the player to shoot a jumpshot as his free throw. (A free throw shooter is allowed to jump, as long as he doesnt step over the FT line before the ball reaches the rim.)

Looking at the guy posted in the first page of this thread: http://www.buzzerbeater.com/player/7095293/overview.aspx
you can see that he shoots 0% in over1000 free throws in his career, while this season he is shooting 0.483 from the field (I assume a lot of these are JS given the fact that he only plays PG) and 0.287 from 3-pt range (obviously jump shots--excluding any full-court buzzerbeating heaves) in over 350 attempts. This player has been around for 10 seasons already.

The reason players shoot FTs without jumping (jumping without a violation) is that it is easier to shoot a FT without jumping, because the motion of a FT is a more compact and more reproducible than the motion of a jumpshot. However, if for whatever reason, shooting a traditional FT is harder than a JS, then the player can (as long as he doesn't cause a violation) shoot a jumpshot for his FT. Thus, (even with nerves being factored in) it doesn't make any sense for a player's FT% to be drastically less than his JS%.

(Note that this is not an argument meant for logic. Making 0 FT in over a 1000 attempts is obviously illogical, unless the player is purposefully trying to miss by throwing the ball in the other direction.
This is an argument relating FT% to FG%--particularly for guards, who can have their FG% (or 3-PT) related to their JS%.)

This Post:
00
187744.174 in reply to 187744.172
Date: 7/12/2011 5:27:15 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
12001200
No, I don't get it. Because in the BB game, JS and JR control a players ability to hit jumpshots and 3 pointers. You are arguing that the real life FG% and 3P% don't influence FT%, why on earth should JS/JR be linked with FT in the game? That makes absolutely no sense at all.

I didn't say that.
Moreover bewtween "JS" and "FG%" there's a difference. Not small. JS is the skill, your skill. FG% is influenced by many factors (yes JS but also game shapes, defenders, defending strategy, etc...)

Last edited by Biffo (*DT Member) at 7/12/2011 5:33:25 PM

From: Tangosz

To: j9s3
This Post:
00
187744.175 in reply to 187744.173
Date: 7/12/2011 5:44:19 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
573573
This is a good variation on the notion of implementing a floor on FT shooting. I agree it would be more realistic that way. I don't support it from a gaming perspective, but I can see how it would be more realistic.

To be more realistic as well though, we'd probably need a hidden cap on each player's maximal FT ability.

In any event, if people can find good stats tables with position, FG%, 3P% and FT%, I could break things down by position (to remove the centers and bigmen whose FG% is likely higher due to shot type selection). Best would be if people have stats broken down by court location. That might let us separate which type of shot making ability correlates best with FT% (if any).

This Post:
00
187744.176 in reply to 187744.165
Date: 7/12/2011 6:25:29 PM
Kitakyushu
ASL
Overall Posts Rated:
12341234
No way....50% isn't good enough...I have 3 players under average and I plan on training FT in two weeks...

This Post:
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187744.177 in reply to 187744.171
Date: 7/12/2011 6:34:46 PM
Kitakyushu
ASL
Overall Posts Rated:
12341234
Uhm, that was me and not the poor Japanese user.

...I am from The USA but thanks for thinking about me...I just live and work in Japan. But hey, don't worry about that fool who wanted to try and insult me..sticks and stones...bounces off me like I'm wearing a teflon jacket...
I do think we have figured out a good fix though....start FT's at awful..

This Post:
00
187744.178 in reply to 187744.177
Date: 7/12/2011 9:27:21 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
104104
I do not have an opinion on ANYMORE on this issue.

I do believe that it is unrealisitic for a player to shoot nearly over 1000 FTs and miss all of them especially when he can shoot a jumpshot. I do believe that no player should shoot under 20% from the free throw line.

I do think if JS is strongly linked to FTs it will reduce the value of player that is already a good FT shooter. It would not be fair to those who take the time to train FTs.

Something should be done so no player is missing 1000s free throws. But remember BB's with the new cross training don't link JS and FTs to strongly.

From: j9s3

This Post:
11
187744.179 in reply to 187744.178
Date: 7/13/2011 3:04:20 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
5151
But remember BB's with the new cross training don't link JS and FTs to strongly.


Are you saying that JS and FT will not be linked strongly in cross training? Or are you suggesting to the BBs not to link them strongly?


(Personally, I would prefer for them to be linked strongly, even though I already have strong FT shooters.)

This Post:
00
187744.180 in reply to 187744.179
Date: 7/13/2011 3:59:48 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
406406
But remember BB's with the new cross training don't link JS and FTs to strongly.


Are you saying that JS and FT will not be linked strongly in cross training? Or are you suggesting to the BBs not to link them strongly?


(Personally, I would prefer for them to be linked strongly, even though I already have strong FT shooters.)


News say:
now improvement in one skill will in addition be linked, more weakly, even to seemingly unrelated skills


"more weakly" does not indicate a stong link to me.

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