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Rookie potential

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From: vinnie2k

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40492.18 in reply to 40492.4
Date: 7/29/2008 4:29:19 AM
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I would actually favour a normal distribution over your flat distribution.

From: Thijs

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40492.19 in reply to 40492.18
Date: 7/29/2008 4:40:39 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
9292
And the normal distribution being.... (??) The more ideas we have about how the distribution is made, the easier it will become to check the facts after the draft is over and determine which distribution is used by BB. So if you have an idea, please share it!

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40492.20 in reply to 40492.17
Date: 7/29/2008 4:55:39 AM
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True, plus I did have the #1 pick last season.

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40492.21 in reply to 40492.20
Date: 7/29/2008 4:58:15 AM
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But the thing that's really nebulous is how the current skills star rating is calculated.

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40492.22 in reply to 40492.17
Date: 7/29/2008 5:07:40 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
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I never really paid attention on how it was listed, i've never had a good draft spot to begin with. I thought you only saw 2 types of information in the draft results page. "picks" and "favored". Picks was always nicely numbered from 1 - 48, and favored was kinda varied from ones and two's and in the 30-ish.

And i know when you draft the second time you get the other information. ;)

From: vinnie2k

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40492.23 in reply to 40492.19
Date: 7/29/2008 6:30:21 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
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Sorry :-)

The normal distribution is the Gaussian distribution:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normal_distribution

It's a sombrero shape instead of a flat distribution.

From: Thijs

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40492.24 in reply to 40492.23
Date: 7/29/2008 7:00:36 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
9292
The normal distribution could be used for the frequentie of appearence, but if I understood BB correctly [40492.8 ] and the statement that only 20% has allstar potential or higher still makes me believe that potential is liniaer in terms of star rating/potential. Players with 3, 4 or 5 star potential have allstar potential and up, but only 20% of the players have it (not evenly divided between 3, 4 and 5 stars but something like 15%, 4% and 1%). I am not completly firmiliar with the "normal" distribution, but that would almost mean that only 5 star potential has an allstar potential or up, and so 20% of the draftees should have a 5 star potential...

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40492.25 in reply to 40492.24
Date: 7/29/2008 9:13:08 AM
Le Cotiche
III.1
Overall Posts Rated:
772772
i don't remember if it was ever stated: do we know where the "allstar" potential falls, into the 3 stars or 4 stars category?

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40492.26 in reply to 40492.25
Date: 7/29/2008 9:19:49 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
9292
No, we don't... Only that just 20% of all draftee's have a potential of allstar or higher... But we are about to find out :)