I agree mostly, but I’m curious about the upcoming Carolina v Belvedere game. I think depending on enthusiasm and game shape, no one is untouchable, but those are the front runners. Vegas High Rollers is solid & Urban Flow’s new team member really make them difficult to play against, too. Still very early and injuries can wreak havoc on someone still.
To some extent Cup game matchups influence some league games too. 3 seasons or so ago I made it very far somehow and the past few I’ve been knocked out early, crushing my enthusiasm, but allowing me to focus on league games/game shape.