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Season 29 B3 (Buzzerbeaters Best)

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From: Elmacca
This Post:
00
264084.194 in reply to 264084.193
Date: 1/9/2015 1:12:32 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
387387
(78574758)

well, their 9 GS all round beat out my 8 GS all round save one 9 GS guy at PF, even with Princeton Vs LP.

The final 10 point margin flattered them tho'

I'd say Canada has a 50/50 chance of beating China next Week

Last edited by Elmacca at 1/9/2015 1:13:06 PM

This Post:
00
264084.195 in reply to 264084.193
Date: 1/9/2015 4:39:31 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
536536
Did you consider them future enthusiasm levels in your prediction? :D



Nah, whilst I did research each of the 32 teams, I didnt go to the depth of looking at their long term schedules and nor did I do psychological analysis of each of the managers to determine what likely enthusiam levels their teams would have in 4 or 5 weeks time.

I apologise for my laziness

From: Stajan

This Post:
00
264084.196 in reply to 264084.190
Date: 1/10/2015 2:01:14 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
146146
I choked hard last week. I unwittingly played zero of my ten rotation players in my last regular season game, resulting in me needing to play 5 players a full 48 minutes each in my two remaining weekly games for a chance at getting at least 48 minutes. Next match, I had an injury less than 1 minute in (meaning 1 of my players was guaranteed to play 0 total weekly minutes) and lost the playoff match.

I would've predicted the Chinese team to win at the start of the tournament, just not like this. He's very likely to win after receiving massive injury blows to elite 237k and 188k players. For some reason, I wouldn't be super upset if I lose. Just incredibly ashamed and embarrassed. I'll have twice his usable salary while he'll have ~1.6 times my enthusiasm. Might not be impossible for me to win if I hit 2/2 GDP and he misses 1/1 GDP, as long as I keep my TOs down and the REB disparity isn't huge. Maybe I could get lucky if I decided to 2-3 as well, although that seems like a bad idea with my enthusiasm and the scoring ability of his forwards.







Last edited by Stajan at 1/10/2015 2:03:54 PM

From: kozlik4

This Post:
00
264084.197 in reply to 264084.196
Date: 1/11/2015 9:28:37 AM
KS Goldena
PLK
Overall Posts Rated:
41314131
Second Team:
KS Golden Grizzlies
Of course you have some chances...but not very big because of huge difference in enthusiasm. I wish you all the best but if I have to predict my choice is definitely Chinese team.

From: 牛姐

This Post:
00
264084.198 in reply to 264084.196
Date: 1/13/2015 5:02:38 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
7979
don't defend 2-3 for me pls !! and i'll play pick and roll

:-B


From: 牛姐

This Post:
00
264084.199 in reply to 264084.196
Date: 1/13/2015 9:24:21 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
7979
while he'll have ~1.6 times my enthusiasm.

how you calculate 1.6 times ?


This Post:
33
264084.200 in reply to 264084.197
Date: 1/13/2015 9:40:22 AM
Neverwinter
CGBBL
Overall Posts Rated:
621621
haha that enthusiasm thing is a really sore spot for you mate.

Just let it go, it's haunting you like a ghost :)

From: Stajan

This Post:
00
264084.201 in reply to 264084.198
Date: 1/13/2015 1:19:32 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
146146
What offence is pick and roll?

I wouldn't enjoy using 2-3. I've never noticed it to be beneficial in preventing scoring. But I truly have to consider it for the rebounding. My defence and rebounding are projected to be mediocre for this match. All this being said, there's probably a less than 50% chance I do use 2-3.

From: Stajan

This Post:
00
264084.202 in reply to 264084.199
Date: 1/13/2015 1:38:10 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
146146
Wrongly.

I forget how enthusiasm regresses. All I know is that enthusiasm calculators overestimate. Maybe 7.5 enthusiasm versus 10.5 is closer for a 1.4 times difference.

edit: I actually think you'll be more than 10.5 enthusiasm?

Last edited by Stajan at 1/13/2015 1:47:38 PM

This Post:
00
264084.203 in reply to 264084.200
Date: 1/13/2015 1:44:50 PM
KS Goldena
PLK
Overall Posts Rated:
41314131
Second Team:
KS Golden Grizzlies
Don't worry about me;-) I'm fine:-)

Last edited by kozlik4 at 1/13/2015 1:50:00 PM

Message deleted
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