2) One tough match left (tough match is defined as away match vs. a team with no more than 2 losses atm)
That gives us 4 certain losses and 5 likely ones. Most of the other teams have an away game against weak opposition.
but they are also taff matches with team who lost 3 games, at least i would count my opponent today as one of the better teams:
http://www.buzzerbeater.com/team/58047/players.aspxalso my last two opponent i had at home would be challenging away, even when the y had three lost games KK Bobo
(97937) and Black Label Society
(38624) - and i think they are plenty team like that. Maybe they are mostly favorites, but even an 80% favorite will loose some games.