BuzzerBeater Forums

Why use the odds of 1 champion ?

For example a shop wants to know how much the products make for him or her. He/she won't just look at the yesterdays sells and then conclude and interpret based on just that one day !! He/she will probably take a look at the sells of past month, even better the past year for a better outlook and view.

This is the same in here, if we are talking about the BB in whole, and we're discussing how BB should move forward, we can't just say (based on your logic):

1 guy from Moldova has won the B3:

1/20000 = 0.00005 % -----> So if the odds says that he's odds of winning are one in 20000 tries, then he shouldn't have won 1 in the 29 times the B3 have been held. And remember this is based on your logic !! So by your logic, we conclude that micro nations are over presented because he/she overcame the odds !!

That's just ridiculous ! We must look at the bigger picture and consider the numbers in whole. The overall numbers are those that I presented you. And the numbers say that the distribution of champions are not odd at all. They are pretty much as they should be. But then again, remember that this is not a game of odds. A lot and a lot more different factors weigh in and affect the outcome of every game, let alone the B3.

Yeah, I mean BB-Ryan insists that the idea of merging the nations is because they want more competitive NT competitions. I'm sure there are ways that can be arranged to achieve that goal, other than by merging the nations !!

One way is the thing that I mentioned. Also I think that this way, by adding some high potential players to the market, the prices will definitely come down, thus leading to more youth accessibility and youth training, which can improve the competitiveness that BBs are looking for

LOL !!

It's like arguing with a 5 year old

:D


I keep saying that this is not a game of ODDS. You can't say that just because Italy has the most users, they should have more champions. All you can do statistically, is to take a look at the numbers as a whole. I'm getting tired of explaining the same thing over and over again. Numbers are as I provided you. You can accept them, or you can keep ignoring them

;)

i think the merger is really about making competitive leagues. If you sign up and join a league with one other manager who has been playing a while, you will have a crap time and probably quit very quickly. I see why they are trying to do something, though I think a country like Iran should be exempt.

Definitely worth making the point about high pot. draftees from smaller nations though. Would improve the game.

Well thank you !!!

:D

Tell that to BB-Ryan

But on a more serious note, I think this is just not fair to do so, even to very small countries.

You'll have a long time to plan for that party.
Based on the current trend rate of decline since August 17th of last year until this past Monday, we will hit 10K users sometime between November 8th and November 15th... in the year 2021.

Using the slower decline rates that have been taking place in the more recent three months, it would take until July 2028.

Reading through both of your analyses, I tend to think that the basis of the probability to be considered should be framed more around the number of BBB Teams from each country, not the number of users from each country, since you really can only win BBB if you're in the BBB. Micro or Macro, each country can only add one user per season, right?

Micro or Macro, each country can only add one user per season, right?

Cup and League winners. It might be one or two, depending if the same teams win both or not. Past winners have a free pass too if they are in top 1000 in the world. Finally, if the B3 have an uneven number of teams, the best world ranked who did not win a national competition the previous season is called too to get it even.

**

I would like to remind people that now, there is thread about the POSSIBLE merging of nations. Discuss on that thread, not here or your messages will be deleted. And keep in mind that NT are part of the discussion, but not the main point, main point being increasing competitivity of those leagues and the appeal of Buzzerbeater for BB users and FUTURE BB users.

Ah, thanks. I probably should have known that.
(and sorry to continue the off topic-ness, I'll stop now)