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Free throws.... Do they matter?

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182775.35 in reply to 182775.34
Date: 4/29/2011 5:53:15 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
1111
I think FT's Are important Because they are basicly Cheap points that you can get.( and they would really help in the clutch)
Like in my Last Cup Game(Against The War Machine) my team was up by 3 with 5 seconds left and one of my players got fouled he took 2 FT's and missed both the other team had the rebound and came down but luckily they missed the shot. but if they had made that 3pter. then I might not be in the cup still.
[FT Quotes[
"We defended and rebounded well, but tonight it came down to free throw shooting and our kids stepped up and made them."
~ Ben Snively
"Ask 10 kids what they would rather do, dunk in a game or make a free throw to win a game. I guarantee 80 percent say they'd rather dunk in a game"~David McGreal
"I thought we defended him pretty well, but he hit everything he shot ? 2-pointers, 3-pointers, and he was 10-for-10 from the free throw line. I thought our kids did a good job on him in the fourth, but we were more conscious of him and not giving him any shots because he was making them all."
~ Eldon Hoy

From: Scor3r
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182775.36 in reply to 182775.11
Date: 5/2/2011 8:27:04 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
00
I have a guy that is usually at a season FT% of 69 and he normally dosen't miss that many. I can't win games without his Free Throw shooting.

From: Tesse
This Post:
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182775.37 in reply to 182775.36
Date: 5/3/2011 5:45:18 AM
Cruesli
DBA Pro A
Overall Posts Rated:
525525
Second Team:
The Milk
My stats (only players with more than 20 FT's attempted mentioned):

.833 prominent
.906 proficient
.800 strong
.857 respectable
.700 and .690 average
.638 inept
.5 awful


(1 x 17 FT's attempted: .706 prominent)

It seems that last season, for me the difference between respectable and more was pretty small. The guys with lower than respectable FT all performed quite a bit worse.



Crunchy! If you eat fast enough
This Post:
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182775.38 in reply to 182775.37
Date: 5/3/2011 6:19:36 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
204204
I guess the formula for the probability of making a FT is:

(1-1/x)^2 where x is the FT skill with subskill.

This would yield the following probabilities:

atrocious: 0%
pitiful: 25%
awful: 44%
inept: 56%
mediocre: 64%
average: 69%
respectable: 73%
strong: 77%
proficient: 79%
prominent: 81%
...
legendary: 90%

fits pretty well with our observations, I think.

This Post:
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182775.39 in reply to 182775.38
Date: 5/3/2011 6:49:11 AM
Cruesli
DBA Pro A
Overall Posts Rated:
525525
Second Team:
The Milk
That's a nice formula. It underestimates it a little bit though, when you look at: (/community/forum/read.aspx?thread=179355&m=1).

You need a formula that would almost reach 100% when filling in x=20.

Last edited by Tesse at 5/3/2011 6:50:32 AM

Crunchy! If you eat fast enough
This Post:
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182775.40 in reply to 182775.39
Date: 5/3/2011 7:00:20 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
204204
Thank you. The formula in your link looks even better.

Still, if you see a player on the transfer market, it sure pays off to have a handy little formula that allows you to estimate what % of his FTs the player will make, and (1-1/x)^2 sure is a bit easier to calculate than that. But the logarithm formula is probably right.