Thanks for bringing this to my attention. When I first created this three months ago, I was working with the best numbers/analysis that was available at the time. Since then I've concentrated on adding functionality and extra features, and assuming that the numbers/analysis hadn't changed my model much.
At that time there was some noise in our data which skewed the computer's analysis of Passing (PG). It suggested an unrealistically steep slope (like .3 for a 18yo 6'0" & 1.1 for a 18yo 7'6") for Passing (PG). In order to better approximate reality, I talked with wozzvt (who runs the BB-Training site:
(http://training.bb-usa.net)) and we estimated the Passing (PG) numbers by looking at the all heights <6'8" (.60) and >6'8" (.63) which I used in my model. (In the interest of full disclosure, this and Shot Blocking (C) were the only training types I did this kind of thing with.)
Now that we've collected more data, the noise has quieted down some on this one. And when I look at the analysis now it looks like a 6'0" 18yo would get .73 from Passing (PG) and .53 from Passing (PG/SG). The slope still seems a little steep, but more reasonable. And the difference from the current model is not huge (at least for guards). But the analysis is closer to the order you were expecting than the current model.
Before you brought this up I had hoped to put off a new release until Season 23. But it looks like I should do it sooner. I will look at the raw data and the analysis and then:
I will update the model this week or next and release a new version.In the meantime, here's a quick fix using the computer analysis displayed on the BB-Training Site currently:
– Go to the "Coef" sheet and in the top left you will find a table labeled
6'0",18yo.
– In the
PASSING (PG) row find the
PA column and enter
.73.
– Directly below find the
PASSING (PG/SG) row and enter
.53 in the
PA column.
– Find the table labeled
7'6", 18yo below.
– In the
PASSING (PG) row find the
PA column and enter
.88.
– Directly below find the
PASSING (PG/SG) row and enter
.64 in the
PA column.
Last edited by rhyminsimon at 1/24/2013 9:37:55 AM