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Chances to win playing away

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255326.5 in reply to 255326.3
Date: 2/27/2014 9:54:40 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
129129
Thanks for your analysis.

Maybe my assumption of 20% is too high. I am guessing between 5-10% would make more sense as a factor.

BTW I do have some info. The USA Offsite Predictor seems to indicate that home court advantage results in 10% better defense and rebounding. Overall this results in a 5 point variance no matter the pace used. Or a 70%-30% win ratio.

The away team has to be about 7% better than the home team in order to win the game more often.

This is quite a large barrier to overcome during the playoffs. Interesting.

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255326.6 in reply to 255326.1
Date: 2/27/2014 11:48:04 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
157157
I dont have an answer to second question.

But answering the first one is easy. If teams are equal (will never happen), than home team will win all games. All of them.

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255326.10 in reply to 255326.7
Date: 3/5/2014 8:03:04 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
219219
No, you wrong and he is right. Because there is only 1 outcome in the calculation. it is proved by 2teams playing same week twice with the same tactics and substitution patterns. The results used to be identical.