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BB Utopia > cup odds, how was your draw?

cup odds, how was your draw?

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This Post:
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273131.6 in reply to 273131.5
Date: 8/21/2015 7:24:44 AM
Sin City inFamous
IV.16
Overall Posts Rated:
710710
Hey at-least I can use logic to disprove my own paranoia. Then again, so far my paranoia is only confirmed. I did the same analysis when I was in Nippon, and I looked at the odds of my draws. For that team I was drawing the worst 5% of possibilities and saw 5 straight seasons of horrible draws (while I was winning the JBBL title)
So the conclusion to me was
a- bad luck (I'll admit most likely I guess...even though the bad luck was in of itself improbable, hence the title bad luck..)
b- bad random number seeding (which causes same or similar things to continue to happen in a simulated randomness, that is not actually random- note although not random, it may not be controlled....in theory random number generators are simply uncontrolled, not actually random)
c- someone was reseeding the cup draws over and over until they liked what they saw and/or manually creating draws in a grand conspiracy.

I don't trust my own shadow! Why should I!



Probably you didn't know about random in Programming.

This is what BB uses (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pseudorandom_number_generato...)

This is what, for example, Pokerrooms use (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hardware_random_number_gener...)

main difference is that Pseudorandom is not unique, so here you can see 2 matches which are the same in points, team ratings, MR, shooting percentage and so on.

So, i'm enough sure option B fits to your case.

This Post:
00
273131.7 in reply to 273131.6
Date: 8/21/2015 4:21:13 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
5959
How can you say having a higher rank team in cup a good draw? Thats a horrible draw I lost to a 289 cup team in utopia yesterday. Would you consider that a good draw because I got to do scrimmages from here on?

Heading on the right path so far. Are you?
This Post:
00
273131.8 in reply to 273131.1
Date: 8/21/2015 7:24:08 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
14901490
S31:
R1 350 (-674)
R2 432 (-80)
R3 251 (-5)
R4 22 (-106)
R5 340 (+284)
R6 48 (+16)
R7 3 (-13)

S32
R1 702 (+190)
R2 202 (-54)
R3 186 (+58)

I understand the reasoning, but I don't know how relevant it is tbh. Drawing a team 250-1000 might not make any difference for some people...and CRs are notoriously not an accurate reflection of the actual strength of a team.