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top Draft player probability ?

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From: goranj

This Post:
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305593.5 in reply to 305593.4
Date: 8/4/2020 4:55:36 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
168168
I had a draft in which I got (34076251) & (34076238) no 6 and no 28. Sadly I did not manage to get top from them, they reached only SS120.

King Crimson
This Post:
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305593.6 in reply to 305593.1
Date: 8/4/2020 5:08:36 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
14901490
You can have zero 5/5 A+ 18yo. And as several others said, MVP is the more likely outcome anyway. It is more likely now than it used to as they boosted players' starting skills (so there are more 5/x) but they did nothing to potential so...

Last edited by Lemonshine at 8/4/2020 5:10:47 AM

This Post:
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305593.8 in reply to 305593.7
Date: 8/5/2020 4:45:10 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
14901490
The rating is only a function of salary

This Post:
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305593.9 in reply to 305593.6
Date: 8/5/2020 1:27:28 PM
Vilkiukai
II.3
Overall Posts Rated:
440440
Second Team:
Vilkiukai II
2 seasons ago i was in bot league div 4. Draft had 8 5/5 players (was very excited, counted around 85% taking atleast 2, and like 27% taking third also), sadly only managed to snap 1....Oh and, everybody was MVP

Also had a streak before with like 10 seasons no 5/5 guy in old times, but nowadays it seems the probability is really jacked up. I am pretty sure it is average of ~2 players 5/5 in every draft, so ~95 %? should have atleast one.

But also need to have in account that most players are quite trash skillwise, so maybe lets count ~0,5 player per draft on average somewhat NT material.

Last edited by Vilkai [LTU NT] at 8/5/2020 1:29:01 PM

This Post:
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305593.11 in reply to 305593.1
Date: 8/10/2020 6:22:06 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
117117
My current draft has no 5/5 18 year olds. Only 5/5 19 year old I found before deciding not to waste more points is only A rated.

This Post:
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305593.14 in reply to 305593.13
Date: 8/11/2020 9:18:36 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
260260

In my draft there is 24x 18yo players, I have scouted 14: no 5 potentials so far... 10 left to scoot.


When i have a top choice, I only scoot 18 yo players... when not, I am more opened to 19 yo players...

This Post:
11
305593.15 in reply to 305593.14
Date: 8/11/2020 4:57:49 PM
Syndicalists' BC
Naismith
Overall Posts Rated:
305305
19 year olds have become decent draftees now that they can have higher starting skills. Only difficulty is the grading wasn't adjusted to reflect that change, so it usually takes more good luck to select a good one or more draft points, which isn't really worth it since they are so expensive as it is.

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