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HOF 18yr old, transfer or keep? (thread closed)

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137913.6 in reply to 137913.5
Date: 3/28/2010 4:22:57 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
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Who can reach HOF potential anyway?

Can you smell what the Hobos are cooking... oh wait its just Roger. (18085274)
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137913.7 in reply to 137913.6
Date: 3/28/2010 6:43:43 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
522522
Probably some of the top teams maybe. Don't know. But the top teams could certainly make a LOT more use out of him than a team in div 5. A team in div 5 will probably afford him up to 25k salary and then would have to sell him. Might as well sell him now while he is worth a lot more to teams in higher divisions, and buy a similar trainee with allstar potential which you can train.

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137913.8 in reply to 137913.7
Date: 3/28/2010 9:08:41 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
112112
Naker your right a D5 team could prob afford him up to a max of 25k. Beyond that I feel your opinion is way off. It will take about 2-3 seasons of single position training for him to get to that salary. With that he should easily advance to D IV possibly D III.

If the player is going to be properly trained somewhat around what Sherlock said (I would go 8-10 Weeks OD, The rest JS/JR, NEVER 1v1 as an 18y/o), then it is by far more beneficial for the team to keep him. Remember we are in a long term game that couple million wont be as beneficial to him as what this HoF can turn into.

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This Post:
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137913.10 in reply to 137913.9
Date: 3/28/2010 9:42:53 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
522522
And why can't he buy a player off the transfer list that has the same skills (or very similar) but with a lower potential (allstar potential is ideal as it is cheap and still way higher salary cap than he can afford)? You are not making any sense to me. You are saying to keep him and train him up right? But why not sell him for a few million, buy a different trainee that you can give the EXACT same training to. The only difference is that you will have a few million spare dollars. This money can be used to expand your arena, or buy 3 or 4 older guys that will virtually gaurantee promotion from div 5.

There is no reason why he can't just train a cheaper trainee just as effectively using the training plan suggested.

This Post:
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137913.11 in reply to 137913.10
Date: 3/28/2010 10:06:17 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
112112
Moving from DV to DIV is cake he doesnt need to buy new players to do so. By just training this trainee he will be able to move up.

Why should he downgrade the guys potential when in 3-4 seasons he will be approaching his cap and then need to dish out money to get a new trainee when if he stuck with his original he could keep training him forever? The guy he has is one he can build his team around, by selling the player he is sacrificing his long term good for short term profit.

This Post:
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137913.12 in reply to 137913.11
Date: 3/28/2010 10:15:04 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
522522
In 2 or 3 seasons he is not going to be able to afford the guys salary. This means he is either going to have to stop training him or sell him. If he sells him, he will probably get less money for him than he would now. If he keeps him, then the remaining potential is wasted.

If he got a different trainee now, he could train him up exactly like you said for 2 or 3 seasons, and build up a team around him. If you don't want to buy players, then he can just as easily build up his arena if he is already confident of promoting. You say dish out money for a new trainee, but he is going to get millions for this trainee, and can buy one with a better skill set for less than 200k.

You say he could keep training him forever, but the fact is he can't, as soon as his salary gets expensive he will have to stop. Better to cash up now, and get a lower potential trainee that you can train for 3 seasons, and then stop once it gets too expensive without wasting potential.

This Post:
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137913.13 in reply to 137913.12
Date: 3/28/2010 10:28:13 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
112112
In 2 or 3 seasons he is not going to be able to afford the guys salary. This means he is either going to have to stop training him or sell him.

In 2-3 seasons he will be able to afford the guys salary just as easily as a lower potential guy. we both know salary is not affected by potential. He should be able to easily climb to D IV over the next season or two in which he could easily afford a salary up to 100k. As he climbs more divisions he will be able to afford a higher salary and not have to regret not having a higher potential player. We get so little training in this game you have to concentrate it on 2-3 players in order to maximize your benefit.

If he sells him, he will probably get less money for him than he would now.

Wrong, he would in fact get much more money. A HOF potential player w/ 2-3 seasons single position training would garner a lot higher bids than a rookie.

If you don't want to buy players, then he can just as easily build up his arena if he is already confident of promoting.

He could easily build his arena off the revenues he earns, its not like you need to drop hundreds of thousands into your arena at DV

You say he could keep training him forever, but the fact is he can't, as soon as his salary gets expensive he will have to stop.

100% wrong. I got Willis Lundy in the draft when I was in DV. Willis has been single position trained since then and is now an elite guard. His salary is easily affordable for my team and he is the only reason I have climbed to D3 almost making it to DII last season.

This Post:
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137913.14 in reply to 137913.12
Date: 3/28/2010 10:31:37 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
8888
As long as he is well trained*, he will be worth at least as much (and probably more) at 20-21yr as he's worth now, so I don't think he is going to lose any money by keeping him for as long as he can afford the salary.

The advantage of keeping him is that if his team is making steady progress up the divisions and he can make it into D.II-III where he is in a better position to train for a long time, he will have a player he can build his team around for the NBBA, which is the ultimate goal.

A well trained all-star potential player will probably cap out at 60k+ with the salary changes: that is still unaffordable if he doesn't keep promoting, and it's also not high enough to be a star player as he approaches the NBBA. If he doesn't need the 2-3mil right now to promote out of D.V and D.IV (and he really probably doesn't) I don't think there is much long-term sense in selling such a good prospect.

*Can't always take this for granted.

This Post:
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137913.15 in reply to 137913.14
Date: 3/28/2010 10:46:47 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
522522
I guess it depends where his team is at the moment. If he is already close to making promoting then maybe he should train him, but if he isn't near promoting, selling would gaurantee him promotion.

I guess my issue with keeping him to train, is that I don't think div 3 teams (assuming he promotes in successive seasons, which may or may not be likely) can afford 100k+ salaries for a single player. I might be wrong, but at least in Australia I don't think it can be done. Maybe it's different in US div 3.

I don't think he is going to promote to the NBBA in successive seasons, which means he is going to stop being able to afford the salary at some point. Why not trade him out now for someone with even MVP potential, or Superstar potential then? You would get an easy million profit, and still have just as good a trainee.

This Post:
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137913.16 in reply to 137913.15
Date: 3/28/2010 11:01:16 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
112112
For his player to get to 100k salary will take about 5 seasons. By that time he can easily be in D3. In every D3 around the world it is very possible to have a 100k salary player assuming you have managed your team and arena properly.

Why not trade him out now for someone with even MVP potential, or Superstar potential then? You would get an easy million profit, and still have just as good a trainee.

If he were to trade him in for a MVP or Superstar he would have a very small profit of a maximum 1 mil with most likely worse starting skils. His trainee is perfect 6'0" and great starting skills. Your not going to find something comparable if he tries to get another US trainee (To match the Merchandizing revenue he would lose by getting a foreigner).

I don't think he is going to promote to the NBBA in successive seasons, which means he is going to stop being able to afford the salary at some point.

It will take well over 6 seasons for the salary to hit a level of unreasonable. It would be much better to stop training a player by choice than be forced to by a cap when you need that player to become better still.


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