So I figured I'd throw weird strategies and CT. Based on those results, I'd say you're a straight up 15 point favorite. I'll have to add at least one player to have a chance in the finals.
The worst part of this game is that a 1 point loss on TV against an undefeated team will cost you $$$ over the course of the next couple of weeks. There should be a fan excitement bonus for close games against good teams.