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Comprehensive potential analysis?

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128823.7 in reply to 128823.6
Date: 1/22/2010 2:37:47 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
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which took me 7 full 2 position ID trainings at the age of 23.


That is not capped - getting pretty close to the cap, maybe. Capped, I don't think so. Capped is when you do 1 position training for a season and get one pop.

Anyhow, like I said 3x tremendous is about where a C caps in my experience (when I say C, I mean very few guard skills to speak of). This guy was getting close to that, the extra JS and (maybe) driving probably pushed him over the edge a bit.

It is also possible that inside shot contributes more to the capping formula than rebounding.

Last edited by HeadPaperPusher at 1/22/2010 2:40:25 PM

Run of the Mill Canadian Manager
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128823.8 in reply to 128823.7
Date: 1/22/2010 2:43:42 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
506506
Ah ok, I was defining capped as a slowdown in training, but since it's a softcap it doesn't shut down completely. It just slows down more the more you train you player over the cap. So that would probably clarify the 10k difference then.

This Post:
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128823.9 in reply to 128823.8
Date: 1/22/2010 2:47:58 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
155155
but since it's a softcap it doesn't shut down completely.


I think that's why some people start to believe in sub-levels of potential, they mistake the first slowdown for being capped. So far my experience shows no evidence for sub-levels, at least in allstar Cs with few secondary skills (and I'm speaking about allstar players, not allstar*).

The focus, I think, should not just be on salary. I haven't done a statistical analysis or anything, but it sure seems to me that multi-skilled players always cap faster than their salary would indicate.

Salary may provide an upper bound, but not much more than that. Maybe a by-position capping table would be better, since it is also my experience that guards tend to cap sooner than Cs (probably because by nature a guard needs more skills).


Last edited by HeadPaperPusher at 1/22/2010 2:51:51 PM

Run of the Mill Canadian Manager
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128823.11 in reply to 128823.7
Date: 1/23/2010 5:25:39 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
4545
But I think most people (including me) would be more interested in knowing the soft cap (i.e. the slow down) than the hard one. It's probably better in most cases to stop training those players. 2-3 weeks of full 2 position handling training for this player without a pop is already too slow for me:

Weekly salary: $ 9 871

Age: 21
Height: 6'0" / 183 cm
Potential: 6th man

Jump Shot: prolific Jump Range: proficient
Outside Def.: respectable Handling: awful
Driving: proficient Passing: average
Inside Shot: respectable Inside Def.: pitiful
Rebounding: awful Shot Blocking: atrocious
Stamina: average Free Throw: mediocre

Experience: pitiful

This Post:
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128823.12 in reply to 128823.11
Date: 1/23/2010 11:36:48 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
196196


Age: 21
Height: 6'0" / 183 cm
Potential: 6th man

Jump Shot: prolific Jump Range: proficient
Outside Def.: respectable Handling: awful
Driving: proficient Passing: average
Inside Shot: respectable Inside Def.: pitiful
Rebounding: awful Shot Blocking: atrocious
Stamina: average Free Throw: mediocre

Experience: pitiful


This guy strikes me as someone capable of beating their shadow in a one on one game. (just)

From: JuggleBoy

To: 7ton
This Post:
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128823.13 in reply to 128823.11
Date: 1/24/2010 4:45:21 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
1111

Age: 21
Height: 6'0" / 183 cm
Potential: 6th man

Jump Shot: prolific Jump Range: proficient
Outside Def.: respectable Handling: awful
Driving: proficient Passing: average
Inside Shot: respectable Inside Def.: pitiful
Rebounding: awful Shot Blocking: atrocious
Stamina: average Free Throw: mediocre

Experience: pitiful


Is this your personal BB-Avatar stats, 7ton? I wonder how you can have awful Handling and proficient Driving. If you can barely dribble and handle the ball, you can't drive with any proficiency.


From: 7ton

This Post:
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128823.14 in reply to 128823.13
Date: 1/24/2010 9:15:10 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
4545
No. As I said I was training his handling and actually I wanted to raise his handling to at least average and perhaps 1 more OD and I know he was going to reached that soft cap quite soon. I was a bit caught off to find that he had already reached his soft cap. If I can redistribute his stat I would lower his JR and add it to handling and also a bit OD.

This Post:
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128823.15 in reply to 128823.10
Date: 1/25/2010 8:42:04 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
155155
but roughly on skill-sum.


I don't think that's exactly it. My player Wendon is pretty much at his cap (he is either there or a pop away from getting there) but has a skill sum of 103. That's a far cry from my approximate minimum - (somewhere around 50 for triple tremendous inside skills, a bit of shot blocking plus all atrocious guard skills).

I think it is more what Joseph Ka was saying. There are some skills that weight more against the cap, some that weight less. It is exponential like salaries, so that higher skills have more relative difference. But there is probably one cap formula for all players, not like salary where there are 5 different formulas.




Run of the Mill Canadian Manager
This Post:
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128823.16 in reply to 128823.11
Date: 1/25/2010 8:46:10 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
155155
But I think most people (including me) would be more interested in knowing the soft cap (i.e. the slow down) than the hard one.


How do you measure when the slow-down starts? There are just too many variables involved, including age. For example, is it unrealistic for a 6'10" 23 year old player to take 5 weeks pressure training to pop in outside d? I have no idea.

However, it is easier to see when training has for all intents and purposes stopped (by the way, there is no hard cap, the cap is still soft you just have to wait a really, really long time for a pop).

Run of the Mill Canadian Manager