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Draft - more draftees

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171465.8 in reply to 171465.7
Date: 1/20/2011 8:59:33 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
209209
You can't really expect to make money out of the draft, because every league has the same chances. You can only hope to get lucky with a NT prospect if you want to tank.. But the draft is not meant to make money. Don't invest in it unless you want to keep the player.

"Air is beautiful, yet you cannot see it. It's soft, yet you cannot touch it. Air is a little like my brain." - Jean-Claude Van Damme
This Post:
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171465.9 in reply to 171465.8
Date: 1/20/2011 10:07:49 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
14651465
Ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh

I HATE HATE HATE these forums.

Just spent 30 mins on a huge detailed statistical analysis of the draft only to get "oops" you go back and get nothing. So pathetic.

I guess you win this discussion, I am not going to go through all of that again but I will share my conclusion...

In my league draft there were 0 x ATG, 0 x HoF, 1 x 19 year old $2,500 salary MVP, 2 superstars neither trainable, so the best potential guy was one p-all-star with less than $4,000 salary. There were in total 2 guys with > $5,000 salary, neither great. No-one won. The only winning strategy if you had first pick or last pick was to spend $0 on the draft.

This Post:
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171465.10 in reply to 171465.9
Date: 1/20/2011 10:30:39 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
209209
Yeah, you have to be careful with long messages ;)

I hear what you're saying, but my only conclusion is your league had a bad draft. It happens. You can chose to spend $ 0 next year, but who's to say there won't be a Blake Griffin in that one?
Some drafts are good, some aren't, just like in real life. You pay to find out.

"Air is beautiful, yet you cannot see it. It's soft, yet you cannot touch it. Air is a little like my brain." - Jean-Claude Van Damme
From: Thelonious

To: RiP
This Post:
11
171465.12 in reply to 171465.11
Date: 1/21/2011 4:24:13 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
209209
You probably would have made a profit in the past but the economic deflation has really killed any sort of positives that come from investing heavily in the draft.
[...]

It's sad but it's true.

It's just the end of a cycle. It made sense to invest because there was a demand for young trainees with potential. After a few seasons like this the demand is down and the price drop. It's not sad, you can still get a excellent piece for your team's future that is worth some investment in the draft, but you could argue the community as a whole speculated on the draft and it hit a peak and now it's not worth investing to sell draftees. That's the nature of the market in this game.
Increasing the quality of the draft will not solve this problem, it will only delay it before an even bigger market crash. You can blame speculators and day traders for this one.

"Air is beautiful, yet you cannot see it. It's soft, yet you cannot touch it. Air is a little like my brain." - Jean-Claude Van Damme
This Post:
00
171465.13 in reply to 171465.12
Date: 1/21/2011 11:54:36 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
14651465
Well I would be less sad but I train guards and the guys I have drafted in both of the last two seasons have both had atrocious JS. Atrocious!

Yes this is the other factor with the free agent tsunami. training players is almost not worthwile now. I saw a well trained 21 year old guard go for $400,000 the other day. Why spend 3 seasons training?

This Post:
11
171465.14 in reply to 171465.13
Date: 1/26/2011 1:50:50 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
229229
Investing 40k in the draft costs more than 500k/season. The % of getting a hot prospect in the draft is rather low. Even you get a hot prospect and train him for 4 seasons you won't get much $ when he is put on sale. So why invest money on the draft? I'm investing $0 and this will remain for a long time if things don't change.
Due to the strong market deflation we are facing the BBs should cut drastically the costs of weekly draft investiments.