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Accuracy of Box Score

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243936.8 in reply to 243936.1
Date: 6/27/2013 5:47:11 AM
Woodbridge Wreckers
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It's statistics, the sample size is just way too small to draw any conclusions. You can check in hindsight and things might check out partially, but that doesn't mean you can use it to predict anything. If on average 50% of the skills check out with the box score, it's still a complete crapshoot because you don't know which 50% check out beforehand.

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243936.9 in reply to 243936.8
Date: 6/27/2013 3:41:09 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
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As I said in my original post, not everything is going to be completely accurate, but it can be an okay way to predict skills. It definitely isn't perfect, but it can be a good indication.

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243936.10 in reply to 243936.9
Date: 6/27/2013 5:59:32 PM
Woodbridge Wreckers
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Alright, next time try to actually predict what skills your draftee will have. That's a lot harder than to look at it afterwards and say "this is actually pretty close". I'm curious how close you can guess the skills with the box score ;)

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243936.11 in reply to 243936.10
Date: 6/27/2013 6:03:41 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
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I'll accept your challenge, for this season's draft, I'll try to predict my draftees' starting skills. However, just as I said before, it isn't going to be 100% accurate, however, I bet I can get pretty close. Now, all we have to do is wait over a month for the All Star Break ;)

Last edited by #ThugLife at 6/27/2013 6:05:42 PM

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243936.12 in reply to 243936.11
Date: 6/27/2013 6:06:33 PM
Woodbridge Wreckers
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Of course, if you want you can set a more specific goal. Maybe something like at least 1 skill correctly guessed within 1 level, at least 5 skills within 2 levels and 4 skills within 3 or something. Then you can say wether you succeeded or failed the challenge afterwards. Of course you can set the bar higher if you're feeling confident ;)

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243936.13 in reply to 243936.12
Date: 6/27/2013 6:16:57 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
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Well, I'll be trying to draft guards this season, since I already have a few guard trainees, so I'll tell you what. I bet I can guess at least 4 out of 6 guard skills within one level.

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243936.14 in reply to 243936.13
Date: 6/27/2013 7:20:55 PM
Woodbridge Wreckers
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Overall Posts Rated:
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Alright put it down and let us know before the draft what you're guessing, and show the results afterwards! Nice challenge.

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243936.15 in reply to 243936.14
Date: 6/29/2013 12:46:33 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
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I'm going to try this as well I think, I think if more people try it and we can get more data we might be able to correlate the box scores to better predict the prospects we are potentially getting.

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243936.16 in reply to 243936.15
Date: 8/2/2013 11:42:15 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
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I guess it's about time to revive this thread. I encourage everybody who's scouting to record your box scores, then we can analyze the results and see what we can learn from it.

Jeroenderbar, I realize now that I'm probably going to lose our bet. There isn't enough data yet to form a good conclusion based on stats. However, I'm going to try my best and see what happens. So far I have one guy I'm targeting, a 6'1" 5/4 SG, A rating. He had the following stats:

38 Min, 7-15 FG, 1-3 3FG, 6-6 FT, 1 OR, 5 TR, 2 AST, 2 TO, 1 STL, 2 BLK, 2 PF, 21 PTS

The bet was only about primaries (that I could get at least 4 of 6 guard skills within one level), but I'll try all skills anyway. I'm predicting: 7/6/7/4/6/5 3/3/4/5 6/8

Last edited by #ThugLife at 8/2/2013 11:43:36 PM

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243936.17 in reply to 243936.16
Date: 8/5/2013 9:12:07 AM
Woodbridge Wreckers
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Overall Posts Rated:
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I'm curious to see if you guess accurately, good luck getting your guy.

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243936.18 in reply to 243936.17
Date: 8/12/2013 9:42:22 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
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Thanks. I found another guy, 6'3" 5/4 A- PG, here are his stats:

40 Min, 2-9 FG, 1-2 3FG, 1-1 FT, 0 OR, 1 TR, 9 AST, 4 TO, 2 STL, 4 BLK, 2 PF, 6 PTS

Seems more like a passing PG. Here's what I'm predicting for his skills: 5/6/7/5/7/7 2/5/1/6 7/5

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