Well there is now on the market a 18 yo player that will be sold for 4 m
So what's your point? Both things can happen.
If you do everything right (ie- spend max cash and scout as optimally as possible) and have a higher pick than someone and you get screwed it's your own fault for poor evaluation as much as it is for there being luck or random or whatever.
My point was that I make 30k more than the league average but almost every other team in the league starts at least one if not two draftees. I have one draftee on my team who never plays yet my merch is much higher.
I don't want to convince anyone ;)