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Which prospect is more valuable?

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207655.9 in reply to 207655.8
Date: 1/30/2012 6:30:13 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
532532
By 20, the 18yo is perhaps better than the 19yo at 21.

It's your logic you're imposing on it, and comparisons to the NBA aren't exactly realistic. It simply is what it is.

http://with-malice.com/ - The half-crazed ramblings of a Lakers fanatic in Japan
This Post:
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207655.10 in reply to 207655.9
Date: 1/30/2012 7:15:40 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
218218
according to jozef ka formulas, which i believe is somewhat pretty accurate, 1 year difference loses 8% training in the final result. So it should be like this: if player is drafted 50skillpoints, he is trainable to 110, if as well rounded sf. so the 8% is like 4,8 skill pops in this case. And i am pretty sure the 19 year old in this case with A+ would have those 5 more skill points than a 18 year B rating one. according to formulas in 6 years 18 year old would get 4.8 full training seazons as fast as 18year old can get, and 19year one in 6 years 4.32 as 18year old can get. Another argument is, if 19 year olds would be so pathetically unusefull, why the hell BBs would put them in the draft? If they would wanted just to put crap, why dont just put 1k salary 18 year old 6th mans, or bench warmers?

Personally i train 19year old draftees, and never felt so great impact, as you say. If trainee has ideal height, he even trains faster. for example i have trained till 24-29k two 18 year and 19 year draftees 4 seazons, always together, one was 6.0 and 19 year old while other 6.3 and 18 year, the first one even traiend faster at guard skills.

For conclusion, there is a crowd sourcing project going on in bb comunity, and i believe it will end all those discusions with rock solid arguments -numbers. Cant wait for results:D

Last edited by Gajus Julijus Cezaris at 1/30/2012 7:31:37 AM